The Mulka by-election, triggered by independent Yiŋiya Guyula’s mid-August resignation, features a crowded field of declared and potential candidates ahead of the September 12 vote in this remote East Arnhem Land electorate. Labor’s preselected nominee Yiwarr McGrath faces independent Andrew Blamey and others, with trader prices clustered near 50 percent across listed outcomes reflecting vote-splitting risks in a predominantly Indigenous seat where local community ties and independent appeals have historically outperformed party machines. The short campaign timeline, limited polling, and absence of a dominant frontrunner sustain the tight pricing, while late nominations, preference flows, or turnout shifts in key communities could quickly separate contenders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-09-12
伊瓦爾·麥格拉思
91%
安德魯·布雷米
9%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
伊瓦爾·麥格拉思
$0 交易量
91%
安德魯·布雷米
$0 交易量
9%
A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).The Mulka by-election, triggered by independent Yiŋiya Guyula’s mid-August resignation, features a crowded field of declared and potential candidates ahead of the September 12 vote in this remote East Arnhem Land electorate. Labor’s preselected nominee Yiwarr McGrath faces independent Andrew Blamey and others, with trader prices clustered near 50 percent across listed outcomes reflecting vote-splitting risks in a predominantly Indigenous seat where local community ties and independent appeals have historically outperformed party machines. The short campaign timeline, limited polling, and absence of a dominant frontrunner sustain the tight pricing, while late nominations, preference flows, or turnout shifts in key communities could quickly separate contenders.
A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ETA by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).The Mulka by-election, triggered by independent Yiŋiya Guyula’s mid-August resignation, features a crowded field of declared and potential candidates ahead of the September 12 vote in this remote East Arnhem Land electorate. Labor’s preselected nominee Yiwarr McGrath faces independent Andrew Blamey and others, with trader prices clustered near 50 percent across listed outcomes reflecting vote-splitting risks in a predominantly Indigenous seat where local community ties and independent appeals have historically outperformed party machines. The short campaign timeline, limited polling, and absence of a dominant frontrunner sustain the tight pricing, while late nominations, preference flows, or turnout shifts in key communities could quickly separate contenders.
A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ETThe Mulka by-election, triggered by independent Yiŋiya Guyula’s mid-August resignation, features a crowded field of declared and potential candidates ahead of the September 12 vote in this remote East Arnhem Land electorate. Labor’s preselected nominee Yiwarr McGrath faces independent Andrew Blamey and others, with trader prices clustered near 50 percent across listed outcomes reflecting vote-splitting risks in a predominantly Indigenous seat where local community ties and independent appeals have historically outperformed party machines. The short campaign timeline, limited polling, and absence of a dominant frontrunner sustain the tight pricing, while late nominations, preference flows, or turnout shifts in key communities could quickly separate contenders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions