Albanese’s commanding position stems from Labor’s 94-seat landslide in the May 2025 federal election, which produced the largest single-party majority in modern Australian history and delayed the next contest until 2028. Recent opinion polls show his personal net approval at record lows around -20 to -24 amid cost-of-living pressures, yet the party maintains a two-party-preferred lead over both the Coalition and One Nation. No formal leadership challenge has emerged within Labor, and Albanese has publicly confirmed his intention to seek a third term. With no scheduled parliamentary votes, state contests, or procedural triggers before year-end that could force a change, trader pricing reflects only a modest tail risk of voluntary resignation or internal party pressure by December 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$15,741 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
7%
$15,741 交易量
12月31日
$7,740 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Albanese’s commanding position stems from Labor’s 94-seat landslide in the May 2025 federal election, which produced the largest single-party majority in modern Australian history and delayed the next contest until 2028. Recent opinion polls show his personal net approval at record lows around -20 to -24 amid cost-of-living pressures, yet the party maintains a two-party-preferred lead over both the Coalition and One Nation. No formal leadership challenge has emerged within Labor, and Albanese has publicly confirmed his intention to seek a third term. With no scheduled parliamentary votes, state contests, or procedural triggers before year-end that could force a change, trader pricing reflects only a modest tail risk of voluntary resignation or internal party pressure by December 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
交易量
$15,741結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Albanese’s commanding position stems from Labor’s 94-seat landslide in the May 2025 federal election, which produced the largest single-party majority in modern Australian history and delayed the next contest until 2028. Recent opinion polls show his personal net approval at record lows around -20 to -24 amid cost-of-living pressures, yet the party maintains a two-party-preferred lead over both the Coalition and One Nation. No formal leadership challenge has emerged within Labor, and Albanese has publicly confirmed his intention to seek a third term. With no scheduled parliamentary votes, state contests, or procedural triggers before year-end that could force a change, trader pricing reflects only a modest tail risk of voluntary resignation or internal party pressure by December 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$15,741結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Albanese’s commanding position stems from Labor’s 94-seat landslide in the May 2025 federal election, which produced the largest single-party majority in modern Australian history and delayed the next contest until 2028. Recent opinion polls show his personal net approval at record lows around -20 to -24 amid cost-of-living pressures, yet the party maintains a two-party-preferred lead over both the Coalition and One Nation. No formal leadership challenge has emerged within Labor, and Albanese has publicly confirmed his intention to seek a third term. With no scheduled parliamentary votes, state contests, or procedural triggers before year-end that could force a change, trader pricing reflects only a modest tail risk of voluntary resignation or internal party pressure by December 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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