Recent posting data shows Elon Musk averaging roughly 23–34 tweets per day across the past week, placing a standard seven-day window near 160–240 posts and aligning with the tight cluster of leading market brackets. Absent major scheduled catalysts such as product launches or regulatory announcements during August 18–25, traders are pricing primarily on historical weekday peaks and weekend lulls, with the 180–199 range holding the highest implied probability at 19.5 percent. External variables including sudden news cycles, platform controversies, or personal commentary can still shift volume sharply, which explains the even spread across neighboring bins and the modest pricing on outlier totals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於180-199 20%
160-179 19%
200-219 18%
140-159 17%
最新
$33,638 交易量
最新
$33,638 交易量
2026-08-25
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
4%
140-159
17%
160-179
19%
180-199
20%
200-219
18%
220-239
17%
240-259
5%
260-279
5%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
1%
400-419
1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 20%
160-179 19%
200-219 18%
140-159 17%
最新
$33,638 交易量
最新
$33,638 交易量
2026-08-25
<20
$671 交易量
<1%
20-39
$671 交易量
<1%
40-59
$515 交易量
<1%
60-79
$5,640 交易量
<1%
80-99
$6,111 交易量
<1%
100-119
$128 交易量
1%
120-139
$170 交易量
4%
140-159
$26 交易量
17%
160-179
$107 交易量
19%
180-199
$172 交易量
20%
200-219
$71 交易量
18%
220-239
$31 交易量
17%
240-259
$10 交易量
5%
260-279
$28 交易量
5%
280-299
$74 交易量
2%
300-319
$20 交易量
1%
320-339
$5 交易量
1%
340-359
$5 交易量
1%
360-379
$100 交易量
1%
380-399
$100 交易量
1%
400-419
$5,209 交易量
1%
420-439
$3,515 交易量
<1%
440-459
$515 交易量
<1%
460-479
$515 交易量
<1%
480-499
$515 交易量
<1%
500+
$8,714 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent posting data shows Elon Musk averaging roughly 23–34 tweets per day across the past week, placing a standard seven-day window near 160–240 posts and aligning with the tight cluster of leading market brackets. Absent major scheduled catalysts such as product launches or regulatory announcements during August 18–25, traders are pricing primarily on historical weekday peaks and weekend lulls, with the 180–199 range holding the highest implied probability at 19.5 percent. External variables including sudden news cycles, platform controversies, or personal commentary can still shift volume sharply, which explains the even spread across neighboring bins and the modest pricing on outlier totals.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$33,638結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent posting data shows Elon Musk averaging roughly 23–34 tweets per day across the past week, placing a standard seven-day window near 160–240 posts and aligning with the tight cluster of leading market brackets. Absent major scheduled catalysts such as product launches or regulatory announcements during August 18–25, traders are pricing primarily on historical weekday peaks and weekend lulls, with the 180–199 range holding the highest implied probability at 19.5 percent. External variables including sudden news cycles, platform controversies, or personal commentary can still shift volume sharply, which explains the even spread across neighboring bins and the modest pricing on outlier totals.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$33,638結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent posting data shows Elon Musk averaging roughly 23–34 tweets per day across the past week, placing a standard seven-day window near 160–240 posts and aligning with the tight cluster of leading market brackets. Absent major scheduled catalysts such as product launches or regulatory announcements during August 18–25, traders are pricing primarily on historical weekday peaks and weekend lulls, with the 180–199 range holding the highest implied probability at 19.5 percent. External variables including sudden news cycles, platform controversies, or personal commentary can still shift volume sharply, which explains the even spread across neighboring bins and the modest pricing on outlier totals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions