Anthony Albanese secured a decisive Labor majority in the May 2025 federal election and remains the incumbent seeking a third term by 2028, yet market prices reflect broad uncertainty over the extended timeline. Recent polling shows Albanese retaining a narrow edge as preferred prime minister, though with net-negative approval ratings, while Coalition leader Angus Taylor and One Nation’s Pauline Hanson draw notable support amid rising primary votes for minor parties. Internal Coalition pressures, potential leadership shifts, and economic conditions continue to influence trader assessments of viable paths to government formation under Australia’s preferential voting system. The wide distribution of prices across candidates underscores the potential for late developments in party room dynamics or national sentiment to reshape probabilities well before the next writs are issued.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Anthony Albanese 40%
Angus Taylor 20%
Pauline Hanson 16%
吉姆·查默斯 5.9%
$16,759 交易量
$16,759 交易量
2028-09-23
Anthony Albanese
40%
Angus Taylor
20%
Pauline Hanson
16%
吉姆·查默斯
6%
Robbie Katter
1%
Larissa Waters
1%
Anthony Albanese 40%
Angus Taylor 20%
Pauline Hanson 16%
吉姆·查默斯 5.9%
$16,759 交易量
$16,759 交易量
2028-09-23
Anthony Albanese
$1,568 交易量
40%
Angus Taylor
$2,059 交易量
20%
Pauline Hanson
$11,433 交易量
16%
吉姆·查默斯
$820 交易量
6%
Robbie Katter
$391 交易量
1%
Larissa Waters
$487 交易量
1%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthony Albanese secured a decisive Labor majority in the May 2025 federal election and remains the incumbent seeking a third term by 2028, yet market prices reflect broad uncertainty over the extended timeline. Recent polling shows Albanese retaining a narrow edge as preferred prime minister, though with net-negative approval ratings, while Coalition leader Angus Taylor and One Nation’s Pauline Hanson draw notable support amid rising primary votes for minor parties. Internal Coalition pressures, potential leadership shifts, and economic conditions continue to influence trader assessments of viable paths to government formation under Australia’s preferential voting system. The wide distribution of prices across candidates underscores the potential for late developments in party room dynamics or national sentiment to reshape probabilities well before the next writs are issued.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jun 10, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
交易量
$16,759結束日期
2028-09-23市場開放時間
Jun 10, 2026, 1:56 PM ETLegislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthony Albanese secured a decisive Labor majority in the May 2025 federal election and remains the incumbent seeking a third term by 2028, yet market prices reflect broad uncertainty over the extended timeline. Recent polling shows Albanese retaining a narrow edge as preferred prime minister, though with net-negative approval ratings, while Coalition leader Angus Taylor and One Nation’s Pauline Hanson draw notable support amid rising primary votes for minor parties. Internal Coalition pressures, potential leadership shifts, and economic conditions continue to influence trader assessments of viable paths to government formation under Australia’s preferential voting system. The wide distribution of prices across candidates underscores the potential for late developments in party room dynamics or national sentiment to reshape probabilities well before the next writs are issued.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$16,759結束日期
2028-09-23市場開放時間
Jun 10, 2026, 1:56 PM ETAnthony Albanese secured a decisive Labor majority in the May 2025 federal election and remains the incumbent seeking a third term by 2028, yet market prices reflect broad uncertainty over the extended timeline. Recent polling shows Albanese retaining a narrow edge as preferred prime minister, though with net-negative approval ratings, while Coalition leader Angus Taylor and One Nation’s Pauline Hanson draw notable support amid rising primary votes for minor parties. Internal Coalition pressures, potential leadership shifts, and economic conditions continue to influence trader assessments of viable paths to government formation under Australia’s preferential voting system. The wide distribution of prices across candidates underscores the potential for late developments in party room dynamics or national sentiment to reshape probabilities well before the next writs are issued.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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