Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles currently project a daily maximum of 33–35°C for Wuhan on August 18 under subtropical monsoon flow, with the market’s tight split between 35°C and 34°C reflecting uncertainty over afternoon convective timing and cloud cover that can suppress peak solar heating. Historical August climatology centers near this range, though steering patterns occasionally allow brief spikes when moisture remains limited. Key variables include boundary-layer humidity, wind speed, and any late-day thunderstorm development that could cap temperatures below model consensus or permit brief clearing for higher readings. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月18日武漢氣溫最高？
8月18日武漢氣溫最高？
35°C 39%
34°C 31%
36°C 21%
33°C 9%
最新
$18,486 交易量
最新
$18,486 交易量
2026-08-18
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
9%
34°C
31%
35°C
39%
36°C
21%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 39%
34°C 31%
36°C 21%
33°C 9%
最新
$18,486 交易量
最新
$18,486 交易量
2026-08-18
29°C or below
$118 交易量
<1%
30°C
$118 交易量
<1%
31°C
$2,180 交易量
<1%
32°C
$1,533 交易量
2%
33°C
$2,784 交易量
9%
34°C
$3,615 交易量
31%
35°C
$2,757 交易量
39%
36°C
$1,507 交易量
21%
37°C
$1,510 交易量
1%
38°C
$1,686 交易量
<1%
39°C or higher
$677 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles currently project a daily maximum of 33–35°C for Wuhan on August 18 under subtropical monsoon flow, with the market’s tight split between 35°C and 34°C reflecting uncertainty over afternoon convective timing and cloud cover that can suppress peak solar heating. Historical August climatology centers near this range, though steering patterns occasionally allow brief spikes when moisture remains limited. Key variables include boundary-layer humidity, wind speed, and any late-day thunderstorm development that could cap temperatures below model consensus or permit brief clearing for higher readings. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$18,486結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles currently project a daily maximum of 33–35°C for Wuhan on August 18 under subtropical monsoon flow, with the market’s tight split between 35°C and 34°C reflecting uncertainty over afternoon convective timing and cloud cover that can suppress peak solar heating. Historical August climatology centers near this range, though steering patterns occasionally allow brief spikes when moisture remains limited. Key variables include boundary-layer humidity, wind speed, and any late-day thunderstorm development that could cap temperatures below model consensus or permit brief clearing for higher readings. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$18,486結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles currently project a daily maximum of 33–35°C for Wuhan on August 18 under subtropical monsoon flow, with the market’s tight split between 35°C and 34°C reflecting uncertainty over afternoon convective timing and cloud cover that can suppress peak solar heating. Historical August climatology centers near this range, though steering patterns occasionally allow brief spikes when moisture remains limited. Key variables include boundary-layer humidity, wind speed, and any late-day thunderstorm development that could cap temperatures below model consensus or permit brief clearing for higher readings. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions