Recent forecasts from major models position Warsaw's August 10 high near 30–31°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes and reflecting stable model consensus in the final 48-hour window. Mid-August climatology features peak seasonal insolation and typical highs of 24–26°C, but current synoptic patterns favor warmer advection with limited cloud cover and light winds that enhance daytime heating. Official guidance from sources such as the UK Met Office and BBC indicates a maximum around 30°C, while extended ensembles allow for minor upward revisions to 31–32°C if subsidence strengthens. Traders appear to weight this narrow range most heavily given the proximity to resolution and low likelihood of significant forecast shifts or extremes above 33°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日華沙的最高溫度？
8月10日華沙的最高溫度？
30°C 37%
31°C 25%
29°C 17%
32°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
26°C或以下
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
11%
29°C
17%
30°C
37%
31°C
25%
32°C
14%
33°C
2%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C或更高
1%
30°C 37%
31°C 25%
29°C 17%
32°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
26°C或以下
$12 交易量
1%
27°C
$17 交易量
1%
28°C
$16 交易量
11%
29°C
$22 交易量
17%
30°C
$15 交易量
37%
31°C
$24 交易量
25%
32°C
$27 交易量
14%
33°C
$5 交易量
2%
34°C
$5 交易量
3%
35°C
$17 交易量
1%
36°C或更高
$17 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models position Warsaw's August 10 high near 30–31°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes and reflecting stable model consensus in the final 48-hour window. Mid-August climatology features peak seasonal insolation and typical highs of 24–26°C, but current synoptic patterns favor warmer advection with limited cloud cover and light winds that enhance daytime heating. Official guidance from sources such as the UK Met Office and BBC indicates a maximum around 30°C, while extended ensembles allow for minor upward revisions to 31–32°C if subsidence strengthens. Traders appear to weight this narrow range most heavily given the proximity to resolution and low likelihood of significant forecast shifts or extremes above 33°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$177結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models position Warsaw's August 10 high near 30–31°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes and reflecting stable model consensus in the final 48-hour window. Mid-August climatology features peak seasonal insolation and typical highs of 24–26°C, but current synoptic patterns favor warmer advection with limited cloud cover and light winds that enhance daytime heating. Official guidance from sources such as the UK Met Office and BBC indicates a maximum around 30°C, while extended ensembles allow for minor upward revisions to 31–32°C if subsidence strengthens. Traders appear to weight this narrow range most heavily given the proximity to resolution and low likelihood of significant forecast shifts or extremes above 33°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$177結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETRecent forecasts from major models position Warsaw's August 10 high near 30–31°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes and reflecting stable model consensus in the final 48-hour window. Mid-August climatology features peak seasonal insolation and typical highs of 24–26°C, but current synoptic patterns favor warmer advection with limited cloud cover and light winds that enhance daytime heating. Official guidance from sources such as the UK Met Office and BBC indicates a maximum around 30°C, while extended ensembles allow for minor upward revisions to 31–32°C if subsidence strengthens. Traders appear to weight this narrow range most heavily given the proximity to resolution and low likelihood of significant forecast shifts or extremes above 33°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions