Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 9 indicate daytime highs of 27–31°C amid 90% probability of precipitation, driven by persistent cloud cover, showers, and a typhoon system expected to arrive Sunday evening that limits solar heating and enhances evaporative cooling. These conditions contrast with typical August climatology of 32–34°C highs under subtropical high pressure and urban heat retention, pushing trader consensus toward the tightly bunched 29–32°C outcomes while acknowledging model uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. Official observations from CWA stations will determine resolution, with any forecast revisions or clearer skies potentially shifting implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日臺北氣溫最高?
30°C 24%
32°C 20%
31°C 19%
29°C 18%
$39,911 交易量
$39,911 交易量
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
18%
30°C
24%
31°C
19%
32°C
20%
33°C
15%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 24%
32°C 20%
31°C 19%
29°C 18%
$39,911 交易量
$39,911 交易量
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
18%
30°C
24%
31°C
19%
32°C
20%
33°C
15%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 9 indicate daytime highs of 27–31°C amid 90% probability of precipitation, driven by persistent cloud cover, showers, and a typhoon system expected to arrive Sunday evening that limits solar heating and enhances evaporative cooling. These conditions contrast with typical August climatology of 32–34°C highs under subtropical high pressure and urban heat retention, pushing trader consensus toward the tightly bunched 29–32°C outcomes while acknowledging model uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. Official observations from CWA stations will determine resolution, with any forecast revisions or clearer skies potentially shifting implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions