Recent extreme heat across South Korea, including record-breaking readings near 42°C in early August, has elevated trader focus on the ongoing heatwave's persistence into August 8. Official KMA short-range forecasts and ensemble models indicate a daily maximum near 36–37°C at the Incheon station under persistent high pressure, light winds, and high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling while enhancing daytime sensible heat. Subtle steering patterns and any late coastal advection could trim or boost the peak by 1–2°C, producing the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 34–36°C. Updated KMA model runs and 48-hour guidance releases remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月8日首爾(仁川)最高溫度?
34°C 30%
35°C 30%
36°C 24%
33°C 17%
31°C or below
7%
32°C
7%
33°C
12%
34°C
23%
35°C
30%
36°C
24%
37°C
14%
38°C
11%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
1%
34°C 30%
35°C 30%
36°C 24%
33°C 17%
31°C or below
7%
32°C
7%
33°C
12%
34°C
23%
35°C
30%
36°C
24%
37°C
14%
38°C
11%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent extreme heat across South Korea, including record-breaking readings near 42°C in early August, has elevated trader focus on the ongoing heatwave's persistence into August 8. Official KMA short-range forecasts and ensemble models indicate a daily maximum near 36–37°C at the Incheon station under persistent high pressure, light winds, and high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling while enhancing daytime sensible heat. Subtle steering patterns and any late coastal advection could trim or boost the peak by 1–2°C, producing the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 34–36°C. Updated KMA model runs and 48-hour guidance releases remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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