Current forecast models from European centers show peak temperatures in Milan on August 10 centering on 35–36 °C under persistent high pressure and subsidence warming across the Po Valley, with clear skies and light winds favoring maximum boundary-layer heating. This consensus drives the closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of typical August urban heat-island amplification and minor model spread in afternoon temperature peaks. Ensemble variability, potential for localized convection, and official verification thresholds from regional networks introduce the observed probability split, while climatological August maxima near 30 °C provide baseline context for the elevated readings. New model runs and updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日米蘭的最高溫度？
8月10日米蘭的最高溫度？
36°C 38%
35°C 32%
34°C 15%
37°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
31°C or below
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
5%
34°C
15%
35°C
32%
36°C
38%
37°C
12%
38°C
4%
39°C
3%
40°C
2%
41°C或更高
1%
36°C 38%
35°C 32%
34°C 15%
37°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
31°C or below
$12 交易量
1%
32°C
$10 交易量
2%
33°C
$76 交易量
5%
34°C
$105 交易量
15%
35°C
$11 交易量
32%
36°C
$11 交易量
38%
37°C
$22 交易量
12%
38°C
$0 交易量
4%
39°C
$2 交易量
3%
40°C
$5 交易量
2%
41°C或更高
$17 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from European centers show peak temperatures in Milan on August 10 centering on 35–36 °C under persistent high pressure and subsidence warming across the Po Valley, with clear skies and light winds favoring maximum boundary-layer heating. This consensus drives the closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of typical August urban heat-island amplification and minor model spread in afternoon temperature peaks. Ensemble variability, potential for localized convection, and official verification thresholds from regional networks introduce the observed probability split, while climatological August maxima near 30 °C provide baseline context for the elevated readings. New model runs and updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$271結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from European centers show peak temperatures in Milan on August 10 centering on 35–36 °C under persistent high pressure and subsidence warming across the Po Valley, with clear skies and light winds favoring maximum boundary-layer heating. This consensus drives the closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of typical August urban heat-island amplification and minor model spread in afternoon temperature peaks. Ensemble variability, potential for localized convection, and official verification thresholds from regional networks introduce the observed probability split, while climatological August maxima near 30 °C provide baseline context for the elevated readings. New model runs and updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$271結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETCurrent forecast models from European centers show peak temperatures in Milan on August 10 centering on 35–36 °C under persistent high pressure and subsidence warming across the Po Valley, with clear skies and light winds favoring maximum boundary-layer heating. This consensus drives the closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of typical August urban heat-island amplification and minor model spread in afternoon temperature peaks. Ensemble variability, potential for localized convection, and official verification thresholds from regional networks introduce the observed probability split, while climatological August maxima near 30 °C provide baseline context for the elevated readings. New model runs and updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions