Recent ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF place Helsinki-Vantaa's August 10 daytime maximum near 21–22°C under moderate southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover, aligning with early-August climatology. This positions 22°C as the market leader at 37.5% implied probability, with 23°C close behind due to minor model spreads in afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Traders weigh historical analogs showing typical highs of 19–21°C against the potential for brief clear spells or light showers that could shift the peak by 1–2°C, while upcoming model runs and updated FMI guidance remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日赫爾辛基的最高溫度?
22°C 38%
23°C 31%
21°C 16%
20°C 10%
17°C或以下
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
10%
21°C
16%
22°C
38%
23°C
31%
24°C
9%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C或以上
1%
22°C 38%
23°C 31%
21°C 16%
20°C 10%
17°C或以下
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
10%
21°C
16%
22°C
38%
23°C
31%
24°C
9%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C或以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF place Helsinki-Vantaa's August 10 daytime maximum near 21–22°C under moderate southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover, aligning with early-August climatology. This positions 22°C as the market leader at 37.5% implied probability, with 23°C close behind due to minor model spreads in afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Traders weigh historical analogs showing typical highs of 19–21°C against the potential for brief clear spells or light showers that could shift the peak by 1–2°C, while upcoming model runs and updated FMI guidance remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions