Current Met Office guidance shows London overnight lows holding near 18°C on August 10 amid a weakening but still warm southerly flow under high pressure. Limited nocturnal radiative cooling from residual cloud and light winds, combined with the urban heat-island effect, supports minimums clustered around 18–19°C rather than deeper cooling. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with 18°C favored if winds stay above 5 kt and 19°C if clearer skies allow marginally more mixing; any unexpected increase in low cloud or a faster Atlantic front could shift the outcome. Traders are weighting these short-range model consensus and recent verification of similar warm nights.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日倫敦的最低溫度?
19°C 40%
18°C 33%
20°C 13%
17°C 8%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
8%
18°C
33%
19°C
40%
20°C
13%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C或以上
<1%
19°C 40%
18°C 33%
20°C 13%
17°C 8%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
8%
18°C
33%
19°C
40%
20°C
13%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current Met Office guidance shows London overnight lows holding near 18°C on August 10 amid a weakening but still warm southerly flow under high pressure. Limited nocturnal radiative cooling from residual cloud and light winds, combined with the urban heat-island effect, supports minimums clustered around 18–19°C rather than deeper cooling. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with 18°C favored if winds stay above 5 kt and 19°C if clearer skies allow marginally more mixing; any unexpected increase in low cloud or a faster Atlantic front could shift the outcome. Traders are weighting these short-range model consensus and recent verification of similar warm nights.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions