Recent Central Weather Administration and AccuWeather model runs point to peak daytime heating near 35–37 °C on August 3, driven by typical late-summer subtropical flow, strong insolation, and Taipei’s urban heat island. With seasonal normals around 32 °C and recent days already reaching 35–37 °C under mostly clear or partly cloudy skies, traders assign the highest probability to 37 °C. Any increase in afternoon convection or typhoon-related moisture could cap the maximum a degree or two lower, while continued dry, stable conditions would favor the upper end of the range. Updated high-resolution guidance and official CWA bulletins over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for shifts in these market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日臺北氣溫最高？
8月3日臺北氣溫最高？
37°C 36%
36°C 27%
35°C 15%
38°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
5%
34°C
11%
35°C
15%
36°C
27%
37°C
36%
38°C
12%
39°C
3%
40°C或以上
6%
37°C 36%
36°C 27%
35°C 15%
38°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
30°C or below
$0 交易量
<1%
31°C
$10 交易量
1%
32°C
$20 交易量
2%
33°C
$5 交易量
5%
34°C
$0 交易量
11%
35°C
$0 交易量
15%
36°C
$78 交易量
27%
37°C
$47 交易量
36%
38°C
$25 交易量
12%
39°C
$191 交易量
3%
40°C或以上
$10 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Central Weather Administration and AccuWeather model runs point to peak daytime heating near 35–37 °C on August 3, driven by typical late-summer subtropical flow, strong insolation, and Taipei’s urban heat island. With seasonal normals around 32 °C and recent days already reaching 35–37 °C under mostly clear or partly cloudy skies, traders assign the highest probability to 37 °C. Any increase in afternoon convection or typhoon-related moisture could cap the maximum a degree or two lower, while continued dry, stable conditions would favor the upper end of the range. Updated high-resolution guidance and official CWA bulletins over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for shifts in these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$386結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Central Weather Administration and AccuWeather model runs point to peak daytime heating near 35–37 °C on August 3, driven by typical late-summer subtropical flow, strong insolation, and Taipei’s urban heat island. With seasonal normals around 32 °C and recent days already reaching 35–37 °C under mostly clear or partly cloudy skies, traders assign the highest probability to 37 °C. Any increase in afternoon convection or typhoon-related moisture could cap the maximum a degree or two lower, while continued dry, stable conditions would favor the upper end of the range. Updated high-resolution guidance and official CWA bulletins over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for shifts in these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$386結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent Central Weather Administration and AccuWeather model runs point to peak daytime heating near 35–37 °C on August 3, driven by typical late-summer subtropical flow, strong insolation, and Taipei’s urban heat island. With seasonal normals around 32 °C and recent days already reaching 35–37 °C under mostly clear or partly cloudy skies, traders assign the highest probability to 37 °C. Any increase in afternoon convection or typhoon-related moisture could cap the maximum a degree or two lower, while continued dry, stable conditions would favor the upper end of the range. Updated high-resolution guidance and official CWA bulletins over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for shifts in these market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions