Recent National Weather Service-aligned forecasts for Seattle on September 15 project a daily high near 65°F under mostly cloudy conditions with a 30-40% chance of light drizzle and light northerly winds, consistent with the market's leading implied probabilities clustered around 64-67°F. This outlook sits below the 1991-2020 climatological average high of 71°F for the date, reflecting a cooler marine air influence and limited daytime heating. The substantial 48.5% implied probability on 76°F or higher captures residual uncertainty in model guidance regarding potential clearing or warmer advection ahead of the event. Updated short-range model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around these temperature thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月15日西雅圖的最高溫度？
9月15日西雅圖的最高溫度？
64-65°F 40%
68-69華氏度 38%
66-67°F 30%
62-63°F 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
華氏57度或以下
2%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
6%
62-63°F
27%
64-65°F
40%
66-67°F
30%
68-69華氏度
38%
70-71華氏度
18%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
3%
76°F或以上
2%
64-65°F 40%
68-69華氏度 38%
66-67°F 30%
62-63°F 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
華氏57度或以下
$0 交易量
2%
58-59°F
$0 交易量
3%
60-61°F
$0 交易量
6%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
27%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
40%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
30%
68-69華氏度
$0 交易量
38%
70-71華氏度
$0 交易量
18%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
5%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
3%
76°F或以上
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service-aligned forecasts for Seattle on September 15 project a daily high near 65°F under mostly cloudy conditions with a 30-40% chance of light drizzle and light northerly winds, consistent with the market's leading implied probabilities clustered around 64-67°F. This outlook sits below the 1991-2020 climatological average high of 71°F for the date, reflecting a cooler marine air influence and limited daytime heating. The substantial 48.5% implied probability on 76°F or higher captures residual uncertainty in model guidance regarding potential clearing or warmer advection ahead of the event. Updated short-range model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around these temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service-aligned forecasts for Seattle on September 15 project a daily high near 65°F under mostly cloudy conditions with a 30-40% chance of light drizzle and light northerly winds, consistent with the market's leading implied probabilities clustered around 64-67°F. This outlook sits below the 1991-2020 climatological average high of 71°F for the date, reflecting a cooler marine air influence and limited daytime heating. The substantial 48.5% implied probability on 76°F or higher captures residual uncertainty in model guidance regarding potential clearing or warmer advection ahead of the event. Updated short-range model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around these temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETRecent National Weather Service-aligned forecasts for Seattle on September 15 project a daily high near 65°F under mostly cloudy conditions with a 30-40% chance of light drizzle and light northerly winds, consistent with the market's leading implied probabilities clustered around 64-67°F. This outlook sits below the 1991-2020 climatological average high of 71°F for the date, reflecting a cooler marine air influence and limited daytime heating. The substantial 48.5% implied probability on 76°F or higher captures residual uncertainty in model guidance regarding potential clearing or warmer advection ahead of the event. Updated short-range model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria around these temperature thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions