Latest high-resolution forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble runs indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe, promoting strong daytime radiative heating and light winds that support a Munich maximum near 33°C on August 9. Subtle differences in modeled cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and minor warm-air advection create the tight clustering between 32–34°C outcomes, with traders weighting the slight edge toward 33°C. Model spread remains modest two days out, yet small shifts in the 12–18 UTC temperature evolution or urban heat-island effects could tip resolution between these adjacent brackets.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日慕尼黑最高溫度?
33°C 37%
34°C 28%
32°C 17%
31°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
17%
33°C
37%
34°C
28%
35°C
6%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 37%
34°C 28%
32°C 17%
31°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
17%
33°C
37%
34°C
28%
35°C
6%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest high-resolution forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble runs indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe, promoting strong daytime radiative heating and light winds that support a Munich maximum near 33°C on August 9. Subtle differences in modeled cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and minor warm-air advection create the tight clustering between 32–34°C outcomes, with traders weighting the slight edge toward 33°C. Model spread remains modest two days out, yet small shifts in the 12–18 UTC temperature evolution or urban heat-island effects could tip resolution between these adjacent brackets.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions