Latest official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a daytime maximum of 37°C for Milan on August 5 under sunny skies and light southwesterly winds, driving the near-even split between the 36°C and 37°C outcomes. Model consensus shows strong radiative heating from clear conditions and minimal cloud cover, with an urban heat island effect amplifying readings at city stations, though slight differences in peak timing or boundary-layer mixing create the narrow gap in implied probabilities. Historical August averages near 28–30°C underscore the anomalous warmth, while stable high-pressure patterns have sustained the ridge with low precipitation risk. Traders are watching the next model runs and any revisions from regional observations for shifts ahead of the daily high resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日米蘭的最高溫度？
8月5日米蘭的最高溫度？
36°C 49%
37°C 40%
35°C 6%
38°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
33°C or below
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
6%
36°C
49%
37°C
40%
38°C
4%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
36°C 49%
37°C 40%
35°C 6%
38°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
33°C or below
$556 交易量
1%
34°C
$810 交易量
1%
35°C
$957 交易量
6%
36°C
$735 交易量
49%
37°C
$755 交易量
40%
38°C
$255 交易量
4%
39°C
$41 交易量
1%
40°C
$210 交易量
<1%
41°C
$123 交易量
<1%
42°C
$287 交易量
<1%
43°C or higher
$443 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a daytime maximum of 37°C for Milan on August 5 under sunny skies and light southwesterly winds, driving the near-even split between the 36°C and 37°C outcomes. Model consensus shows strong radiative heating from clear conditions and minimal cloud cover, with an urban heat island effect amplifying readings at city stations, though slight differences in peak timing or boundary-layer mixing create the narrow gap in implied probabilities. Historical August averages near 28–30°C underscore the anomalous warmth, while stable high-pressure patterns have sustained the ridge with low precipitation risk. Traders are watching the next model runs and any revisions from regional observations for shifts ahead of the daily high resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$5,173結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a daytime maximum of 37°C for Milan on August 5 under sunny skies and light southwesterly winds, driving the near-even split between the 36°C and 37°C outcomes. Model consensus shows strong radiative heating from clear conditions and minimal cloud cover, with an urban heat island effect amplifying readings at city stations, though slight differences in peak timing or boundary-layer mixing create the narrow gap in implied probabilities. Historical August averages near 28–30°C underscore the anomalous warmth, while stable high-pressure patterns have sustained the ridge with low precipitation risk. Traders are watching the next model runs and any revisions from regional observations for shifts ahead of the daily high resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,173結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETLatest official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a daytime maximum of 37°C for Milan on August 5 under sunny skies and light southwesterly winds, driving the near-even split between the 36°C and 37°C outcomes. Model consensus shows strong radiative heating from clear conditions and minimal cloud cover, with an urban heat island effect amplifying readings at city stations, though slight differences in peak timing or boundary-layer mixing create the narrow gap in implied probabilities. Historical August averages near 28–30°C underscore the anomalous warmth, while stable high-pressure patterns have sustained the ridge with low precipitation risk. Traders are watching the next model runs and any revisions from regional observations for shifts ahead of the daily high resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions