Recent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including widespread thunderstorms and light to moderate rainfall through August 23, is the main driver keeping implied probabilities centered on 32–34°C for Lucknow’s August 24 maximum. Official India Meteorological Department forecasts and regional model guidance project partly cloudy skies with 80–90% thunderstorm chances, elevated humidity near 70–90%, and light easterly winds that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with typical mid-August climatology of 33–34°C highs while the added cloud cover and precipitation suppress peaks toward the lower end of that range. Updated model runs and observatory observations from the preceding 48 hours reinforce this outlook, with limited scope for clearing that would push readings to 35°C or above.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日勒克瑙的最高溫度?
33°C 42%
34°C 27%
32°C 20%
35°C 7%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
20%
33°C
42%
34°C
27%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 42%
34°C 27%
32°C 20%
35°C 7%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
20%
33°C
42%
34°C
27%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including widespread thunderstorms and light to moderate rainfall through August 23, is the main driver keeping implied probabilities centered on 32–34°C for Lucknow’s August 24 maximum. Official India Meteorological Department forecasts and regional model guidance project partly cloudy skies with 80–90% thunderstorm chances, elevated humidity near 70–90%, and light easterly winds that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with typical mid-August climatology of 33–34°C highs while the added cloud cover and precipitation suppress peaks toward the lower end of that range. Updated model runs and observatory observations from the preceding 48 hours reinforce this outlook, with limited scope for clearing that would push readings to 35°C or above.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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