Official forecasts from the National Weather Service place Houston’s August 6 high in the mid-90s, with model consensus centering near 95 °F amid typical Gulf moisture and light southerly flow. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and any scattered convection could cap temperatures at 94–95 °F, while clearer skies or slightly drier air would favor 96–97 °F. Historical climatology shows an average high of 94–95 °F this date, but recent ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to boundary-layer mixing and timing of any thunderstorm development. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to the two adjacent bins that bracket the most likely observational range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日休斯敦的最高溫度?
94-95°F 45%
96-97°F 34%
92-93°F 13%
98-99°F 8%
$15,539 交易量
$15,539 交易量
85°F或以下
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
13%
94-95°F
45%
96-97°F
34%
98-99°F
8%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F或更高
<1%
94-95°F 45%
96-97°F 34%
92-93°F 13%
98-99°F 8%
$15,539 交易量
$15,539 交易量
85°F或以下
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
13%
94-95°F
45%
96-97°F
34%
98-99°F
8%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from the National Weather Service place Houston’s August 6 high in the mid-90s, with model consensus centering near 95 °F amid typical Gulf moisture and light southerly flow. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and any scattered convection could cap temperatures at 94–95 °F, while clearer skies or slightly drier air would favor 96–97 °F. Historical climatology shows an average high of 94–95 °F this date, but recent ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to boundary-layer mixing and timing of any thunderstorm development. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to the two adjacent bins that bracket the most likely observational range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions