Current forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble models indicates Houston highs on August 7 will likely settle in the mid-90s, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 92–95°F outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure supports hot, humid conditions typical for early August, while Gulf of Mexico moisture and the diurnal sea breeze circulation moderate peak temperatures along the coastal plain; isolated afternoon convection could further cap readings by enhancing cloud cover or triggering localized cooling. Recent model runs show only minor spread tied to exact steering flow and boundary-layer moisture, keeping lower or upper extremes at low implied probabilities consistent with climatological baselines near 94°F.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日休斯敦的最高溫度?
92-93°F 38%
94-95°F 32%
90-91°F 16%
96-97°F 16%
85°F或以下
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
16%
92-93°F
38%
94-95°F
32%
96-97°F
16%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F或更高
<1%
92-93°F 38%
94-95°F 32%
90-91°F 16%
96-97°F 16%
85°F或以下
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
16%
92-93°F
38%
94-95°F
32%
96-97°F
16%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble models indicates Houston highs on August 7 will likely settle in the mid-90s, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 92–95°F outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure supports hot, humid conditions typical for early August, while Gulf of Mexico moisture and the diurnal sea breeze circulation moderate peak temperatures along the coastal plain; isolated afternoon convection could further cap readings by enhancing cloud cover or triggering localized cooling. Recent model runs show only minor spread tied to exact steering flow and boundary-layer moisture, keeping lower or upper extremes at low implied probabilities consistent with climatological baselines near 94°F.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions