Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather currently converge on a daily high of 97–99°F for Austin on August 7, establishing the 98–99°F bin as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability. Persistent upper-level ridging supports strong subsidence and clear skies, limiting cloud cover and convective cooling while allowing surface temperatures to climb close to seasonal norms near 96–98°F. Recent 6–10 day outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center reinforce a warmer-than-average pattern for early August across central Texas, with ensemble guidance showing only modest day-to-day variability and low risk of significant moisture return that could cap highs. Updated short-range runs this week have stabilized expectations without introducing cooler or hotter outliers, keeping 96–97°F and 100–101°F as secondary possibilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
8月7日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
98-99°F 46%
96-97°F 23%
100-101°F 15%
94-95°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
華氏89度或以下
1%
90-91華氏度
<1%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
23%
98-99°F
46%
100-101°F
15%
102-103°F
4%
華氏104-105度
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
攝氏42度（華氏108度）或更高
1%
98-99°F 46%
96-97°F 23%
100-101°F 15%
94-95°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
華氏89度或以下
$108 交易量
1%
90-91華氏度
$326 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$31 交易量
4%
94-95°F
$35 交易量
5%
96-97°F
$98 交易量
23%
98-99°F
$17 交易量
46%
100-101°F
$47 交易量
15%
102-103°F
$56 交易量
4%
華氏104-105度
$140 交易量
<1%
106-107°F
$200 交易量
<1%
攝氏42度（華氏108度）或更高
$141 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather currently converge on a daily high of 97–99°F for Austin on August 7, establishing the 98–99°F bin as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability. Persistent upper-level ridging supports strong subsidence and clear skies, limiting cloud cover and convective cooling while allowing surface temperatures to climb close to seasonal norms near 96–98°F. Recent 6–10 day outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center reinforce a warmer-than-average pattern for early August across central Texas, with ensemble guidance showing only modest day-to-day variability and low risk of significant moisture return that could cap highs. Updated short-range runs this week have stabilized expectations without introducing cooler or hotter outliers, keeping 96–97°F and 100–101°F as secondary possibilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$1,197結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather currently converge on a daily high of 97–99°F for Austin on August 7, establishing the 98–99°F bin as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability. Persistent upper-level ridging supports strong subsidence and clear skies, limiting cloud cover and convective cooling while allowing surface temperatures to climb close to seasonal norms near 96–98°F. Recent 6–10 day outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center reinforce a warmer-than-average pattern for early August across central Texas, with ensemble guidance showing only modest day-to-day variability and low risk of significant moisture return that could cap highs. Updated short-range runs this week have stabilized expectations without introducing cooler or hotter outliers, keeping 96–97°F and 100–101°F as secondary possibilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,197結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETForecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather currently converge on a daily high of 97–99°F for Austin on August 7, establishing the 98–99°F bin as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability. Persistent upper-level ridging supports strong subsidence and clear skies, limiting cloud cover and convective cooling while allowing surface temperatures to climb close to seasonal norms near 96–98°F. Recent 6–10 day outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center reinforce a warmer-than-average pattern for early August across central Texas, with ensemble guidance showing only modest day-to-day variability and low risk of significant moisture return that could cap highs. Updated short-range runs this week have stabilized expectations without introducing cooler or hotter outliers, keeping 96–97°F and 100–101°F as secondary possibilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions