Current National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts for Austin on August 5 point to a high near 99–100°F under partly cloudy skies, aligning with the market’s leading 98–99°F outcome at 45.5% implied probability. Persistent summer heat across Central Texas, driven by high pressure and typical seasonal insolation, supports this range, though slight model variations in cloud cover or timing could shift the official reading into the 96–97°F bin (30%). Recent triple-digit streaks have normalized trader expectations, yet the narrow spread between the top three outcomes reflects uncertainty in the precise daily maximum recorded at official stations. Final NWS observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
8月5日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
98-99°F 46%
96-97°F 29%
100-101°F 25%
102-103°F 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
89°F或以下
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
29%
98-99°F
46%
100-101°F
25%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
華氏108度或更高
2%
98-99°F 46%
96-97°F 29%
100-101°F 25%
102-103°F 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
89°F或以下
$15 交易量
1%
90-91°F
$15 交易量
1%
92-93°F
$156 交易量
1%
94-95°F
$15 交易量
2%
96-97°F
$68 交易量
29%
98-99°F
$188 交易量
46%
100-101°F
$103 交易量
25%
102-103°F
$61 交易量
3%
104-105°F
$16 交易量
2%
106-107°F
$59 交易量
<1%
華氏108度或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts for Austin on August 5 point to a high near 99–100°F under partly cloudy skies, aligning with the market’s leading 98–99°F outcome at 45.5% implied probability. Persistent summer heat across Central Texas, driven by high pressure and typical seasonal insolation, supports this range, though slight model variations in cloud cover or timing could shift the official reading into the 96–97°F bin (30%). Recent triple-digit streaks have normalized trader expectations, yet the narrow spread between the top three outcomes reflects uncertainty in the precise daily maximum recorded at official stations. Final NWS observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$696結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts for Austin on August 5 point to a high near 99–100°F under partly cloudy skies, aligning with the market’s leading 98–99°F outcome at 45.5% implied probability. Persistent summer heat across Central Texas, driven by high pressure and typical seasonal insolation, supports this range, though slight model variations in cloud cover or timing could shift the official reading into the 96–97°F bin (30%). Recent triple-digit streaks have normalized trader expectations, yet the narrow spread between the top three outcomes reflects uncertainty in the precise daily maximum recorded at official stations. Final NWS observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$696結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts for Austin on August 5 point to a high near 99–100°F under partly cloudy skies, aligning with the market’s leading 98–99°F outcome at 45.5% implied probability. Persistent summer heat across Central Texas, driven by high pressure and typical seasonal insolation, supports this range, though slight model variations in cloud cover or timing could shift the official reading into the 96–97°F bin (30%). Recent triple-digit streaks have normalized trader expectations, yet the narrow spread between the top three outcomes reflects uncertainty in the precise daily maximum recorded at official stations. Final NWS observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions