Recent forecasts from agencies including Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models point to a mild winter day in Buenos Aires, with the daily maximum most likely settling near 16–17 °C under light easterly flow and limited cloud cover. These conditions favor modest daytime warming from overnight lows around 12–13 °C, consistent with climatological August averages of 16–18 °C. The closely bunched market probabilities reflect genuine short-term forecast uncertainty: small shifts in wind direction, timing of any weak frontal passage, or changes in boundary-layer mixing could easily push the peak one degree either way. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of resolution will be the key drivers for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
16°C 34%
17°C 28%
15°C 18%
18°C 12%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
6%
15°C
18%
16°C
34%
17°C
28%
18°C
12%
19°C
3%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
2%
16°C 34%
17°C 28%
15°C 18%
18°C 12%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
6%
15°C
18%
16°C
34%
17°C
28%
18°C
12%
19°C
3%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from agencies including Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models point to a mild winter day in Buenos Aires, with the daily maximum most likely settling near 16–17 °C under light easterly flow and limited cloud cover. These conditions favor modest daytime warming from overnight lows around 12–13 °C, consistent with climatological August averages of 16–18 °C. The closely bunched market probabilities reflect genuine short-term forecast uncertainty: small shifts in wind direction, timing of any weak frontal passage, or changes in boundary-layer mixing could easily push the peak one degree either way. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of resolution will be the key drivers for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions