Ongoing U.S. and Israeli military strikes since early 2026 have targeted Hengam Island and nearby strategic positions in the Strait of Hormuz, including Qeshm and Greater Tunb, to degrade Iranian naval and missile capabilities used to monitor or threaten shipping. Reports detail explosions, pier destruction, resident displacement, and environmental damage from oil pollution on Hengam, with local fishing and travel halted amid the active conflict. Iran maintains administrative and military control over the island as part of its defensive network, though analysts note the strikes aim to weaken Tehran’s influence over the chokepoint without reported occupation or sovereignty shifts. Negotiations or ceasefire timelines remain key variables that could influence future control assessments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$208,407 交易量
2026-09-30
9月30日
2%
$208,407 交易量
9月30日
$2,567 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing U.S. and Israeli military strikes since early 2026 have targeted Hengam Island and nearby strategic positions in the Strait of Hormuz, including Qeshm and Greater Tunb, to degrade Iranian naval and missile capabilities used to monitor or threaten shipping. Reports detail explosions, pier destruction, resident displacement, and environmental damage from oil pollution on Hengam, with local fishing and travel halted amid the active conflict. Iran maintains administrative and military control over the island as part of its defensive network, though analysts note the strikes aim to weaken Tehran’s influence over the chokepoint without reported occupation or sovereignty shifts. Negotiations or ceasefire timelines remain key variables that could influence future control assessments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Aug 26, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$208,407結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 11:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing U.S. and Israeli military strikes since early 2026 have targeted Hengam Island and nearby strategic positions in the Strait of Hormuz, including Qeshm and Greater Tunb, to degrade Iranian naval and missile capabilities used to monitor or threaten shipping. Reports detail explosions, pier destruction, resident displacement, and environmental damage from oil pollution on Hengam, with local fishing and travel halted amid the active conflict. Iran maintains administrative and military control over the island as part of its defensive network, though analysts note the strikes aim to weaken Tehran’s influence over the chokepoint without reported occupation or sovereignty shifts. Negotiations or ceasefire timelines remain key variables that could influence future control assessments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$208,407結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 11:08 AM ETOngoing U.S. and Israeli military strikes since early 2026 have targeted Hengam Island and nearby strategic positions in the Strait of Hormuz, including Qeshm and Greater Tunb, to degrade Iranian naval and missile capabilities used to monitor or threaten shipping. Reports detail explosions, pier destruction, resident displacement, and environmental damage from oil pollution on Hengam, with local fishing and travel halted amid the active conflict. Iran maintains administrative and military control over the island as part of its defensive network, though analysts note the strikes aim to weaken Tehran’s influence over the chokepoint without reported occupation or sovereignty shifts. Negotiations or ceasefire timelines remain key variables that could influence future control assessments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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