OpenAI’s September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5, featuring up to 50% faster generation, sharper details, richer textures, improved multi-turn editing, and better subject preservation from reference images, has driven the overwhelming 97% market-implied probability that its models lead text-to-image quality by month-end. The update introduced accessible tools like Sketch alongside API variants Flare and Sunburst, reinforcing OpenAI’s edge in prompt adherence and real-world usability on current leaderboards. With resolution near, only an immediate, higher-performing release from a close rival such as Microsoft’s MAI-Image-2.6 or Google’s Nano Banana family could realistically shift consensus before the deadline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOpenAI 97.1%
Microsoft AI 1.1%
Meta 1.0%
Black Forest Labs <1%
$52,936 KL.
$52,936 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
OpenAI
97%
Microsoft AI
1%
Meta
1%
Black Forest Labs
1%
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Ideogram
<1%
Tencent
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Recraft
<1%
Luma AI
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Reve
<1%
OpenAI 97.1%
Microsoft AI 1.1%
Meta 1.0%
Black Forest Labs <1%
$52,936 KL.
$52,936 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
OpenAI
$39,237 KL.
97%
Microsoft AI
$693 KL.
1%
Meta
$930 KL.
1%
Black Forest Labs
$684 KL.
1%
$743 KL.
<1%
ByteDance
$656 KL.
<1%
Ideogram
$697 KL.
<1%
Tencent
$584 KL.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$717 KL.
<1%
Recraft
$626 KL.
<1%
Luma AI
$649 KL.
<1%
Alibaba
$5,431 KL.
<1%
Reve
$1,290 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5, featuring up to 50% faster generation, sharper details, richer textures, improved multi-turn editing, and better subject preservation from reference images, has driven the overwhelming 97% market-implied probability that its models lead text-to-image quality by month-end. The update introduced accessible tools like Sketch alongside API variants Flare and Sunburst, reinforcing OpenAI’s edge in prompt adherence and real-world usability on current leaderboards. With resolution near, only an immediate, higher-performing release from a close rival such as Microsoft’s MAI-Image-2.6 or Google’s Nano Banana family could realistically shift consensus before the deadline.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Thị trường mở: Jul 20, 2026, 7:12 PM ET
Khối lượng
$52,936Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 20, 2026, 7:12 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-imageNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5, featuring up to 50% faster generation, sharper details, richer textures, improved multi-turn editing, and better subject preservation from reference images, has driven the overwhelming 97% market-implied probability that its models lead text-to-image quality by month-end. The update introduced accessible tools like Sketch alongside API variants Flare and Sunburst, reinforcing OpenAI’s edge in prompt adherence and real-world usability on current leaderboards. With resolution near, only an immediate, higher-performing release from a close rival such as Microsoft’s MAI-Image-2.6 or Google’s Nano Banana family could realistically shift consensus before the deadline.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Khối lượng
$52,936Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 20, 2026, 7:12 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-imageNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5, featuring up to 50% faster generation, sharper details, richer textures, improved multi-turn editing, and better subject preservation from reference images, has driven the overwhelming 97% market-implied probability that its models lead text-to-image quality by month-end. The update introduced accessible tools like Sketch alongside API variants Flare and Sunburst, reinforcing OpenAI’s edge in prompt adherence and real-world usability on current leaderboards. With resolution near, only an immediate, higher-performing release from a close rival such as Microsoft’s MAI-Image-2.6 or Google’s Nano Banana family could realistically shift consensus before the deadline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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