Trader sentiment reflects a fragmented field where OpenAI holds the highest implied probability at 29% for second-best AI agent lab by end of November, supported by its demonstrated agentic workflows, large language model integrations, and enterprise adoption. xAI, DeepSeek, and several others trail closely, each differentiated by specialized training methods, open-source benchmarks, or hardware synergies that influence capability evaluations. The tight spread among many contenders underscores rapid iteration in artificial intelligence, with trader consensus sensitive to verifiable model releases, third-party agent benchmarks, and competitive positioning rather than unconfirmed roadmaps. Upcoming developer events and capability demonstrations could shift these market-implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOpenAI 32%
Anthropic 26%
DeepSeek 26%
Baidu 25.9%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 30, 2026
OpenAI
18%
Anthropic
27%
DeepSeek
26%
Baidu
26%
Meta
26%
ByteDance
26%
Alibaba
25%
Tencent
25%
25%
SpaceXAI
19%
Microsoft
16%
Moonshot
15%
Xiaomi
15%
Nvidia
14%
Mistral
14%
Z.ai
6%
MiniMax
6%
Amazon
6%
Meituan
4%
OpenAI 32%
Anthropic 26%
DeepSeek 26%
Baidu 25.9%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 30, 2026
OpenAI
$89 KL.
18%
Anthropic
$53 KL.
27%
DeepSeek
$33 KL.
26%
Baidu
$33 KL.
26%
Meta
$33 KL.
26%
ByteDance
$33 KL.
26%
Alibaba
$33 KL.
25%
Tencent
$33 KL.
25%
$33 KL.
25%
SpaceXAI
$33 KL.
19%
Microsoft
$33 KL.
16%
Moonshot
$33 KL.
15%
Xiaomi
$33 KL.
15%
Nvidia
$33 KL.
14%
Mistral
$33 KL.
14%
Z.ai
$33 KL.
6%
MiniMax
$33 KL.
6%
Amazon
$33 KL.
6%
Meituan
$33 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader sentiment reflects a fragmented field where OpenAI holds the highest implied probability at 29% for second-best AI agent lab by end of November, supported by its demonstrated agentic workflows, large language model integrations, and enterprise adoption. xAI, DeepSeek, and several others trail closely, each differentiated by specialized training methods, open-source benchmarks, or hardware synergies that influence capability evaluations. The tight spread among many contenders underscores rapid iteration in artificial intelligence, with trader consensus sensitive to verifiable model releases, third-party agent benchmarks, and competitive positioning rather than unconfirmed roadmaps. Upcoming developer events and capability demonstrations could shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Thị trường mở: Sep 17, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Khối lượng
$700Ngày kết thúc
Dec 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 8:03 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader sentiment reflects a fragmented field where OpenAI holds the highest implied probability at 29% for second-best AI agent lab by end of November, supported by its demonstrated agentic workflows, large language model integrations, and enterprise adoption. xAI, DeepSeek, and several others trail closely, each differentiated by specialized training methods, open-source benchmarks, or hardware synergies that influence capability evaluations. The tight spread among many contenders underscores rapid iteration in artificial intelligence, with trader consensus sensitive to verifiable model releases, third-party agent benchmarks, and competitive positioning rather than unconfirmed roadmaps. Upcoming developer events and capability demonstrations could shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Khối lượng
$700Ngày kết thúc
Dec 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 8:03 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment reflects a fragmented field where OpenAI holds the highest implied probability at 29% for second-best AI agent lab by end of November, supported by its demonstrated agentic workflows, large language model integrations, and enterprise adoption. xAI, DeepSeek, and several others trail closely, each differentiated by specialized training methods, open-source benchmarks, or hardware synergies that influence capability evaluations. The tight spread among many contenders underscores rapid iteration in artificial intelligence, with trader consensus sensitive to verifiable model releases, third-party agent benchmarks, and competitive positioning rather than unconfirmed roadmaps. Upcoming developer events and capability demonstrations could shift these market-implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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