Anthropic’s recent $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, alongside run-rate revenue surpassing $47 billion, forms the core driver behind market-implied odds clustered around $1.5–2.5 trillion closing market caps. Trader consensus reflects strong enterprise adoption of Claude models and AI sector momentum, tempered by precedent from the SpaceX IPO repricing and uncertainty over public multiples on forward ARR. The company’s June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and ongoing high-level investor meetings point to a potential fall 2026 debut, with outcomes hinging on prevailing Treasury yields, risk appetite, and any revisions to analyst estimates ahead of pricing. The even distribution across buckets underscores the wide range of possible valuation outcomes given execution and macroeconomic variables.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$1.5–$1.75T 16.6%
$1.75–$2.0T 17%
$2.0–$2.25T 16.2%
$2.25–$2.5T 16%
$329,946 KL.
$329,946 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
<$1.25T
3%
$1.25–$1.5T
9%
$1.5–$1.75T
17%
$1.75–$2.0T
17%
$2.0–$2.25T
16%
$2.25–$2.5T
16%
$2.5–$2.75T
10%
$2.75–$3.0T
6%
$3.0T+
7%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
3%
$1.5–$1.75T 16.6%
$1.75–$2.0T 17%
$2.0–$2.25T 16.2%
$2.25–$2.5T 16%
$329,946 KL.
$329,946 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
<$1.25T
$51,707 KL.
3%
$1.25–$1.5T
$49,909 KL.
9%
$1.5–$1.75T
$47,434 KL.
17%
$1.75–$2.0T
$30,945 KL.
17%
$2.0–$2.25T
$38,495 KL.
16%
$2.25–$2.5T
$29,787 KL.
16%
$2.5–$2.75T
$23,813 KL.
10%
$2.75–$3.0T
$13,309 KL.
6%
$3.0T+
$21,921 KL.
7%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$22,624 KL.
3%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s recent $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, alongside run-rate revenue surpassing $47 billion, forms the core driver behind market-implied odds clustered around $1.5–2.5 trillion closing market caps. Trader consensus reflects strong enterprise adoption of Claude models and AI sector momentum, tempered by precedent from the SpaceX IPO repricing and uncertainty over public multiples on forward ARR. The company’s June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and ongoing high-level investor meetings point to a potential fall 2026 debut, with outcomes hinging on prevailing Treasury yields, risk appetite, and any revisions to analyst estimates ahead of pricing. The even distribution across buckets underscores the wide range of possible valuation outcomes given execution and macroeconomic variables.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Thị trường mở: Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$329,946Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s recent $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, alongside run-rate revenue surpassing $47 billion, forms the core driver behind market-implied odds clustered around $1.5–2.5 trillion closing market caps. Trader consensus reflects strong enterprise adoption of Claude models and AI sector momentum, tempered by precedent from the SpaceX IPO repricing and uncertainty over public multiples on forward ARR. The company’s June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and ongoing high-level investor meetings point to a potential fall 2026 debut, with outcomes hinging on prevailing Treasury yields, risk appetite, and any revisions to analyst estimates ahead of pricing. The even distribution across buckets underscores the wide range of possible valuation outcomes given execution and macroeconomic variables.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Khối lượng
$329,946Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s recent $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, alongside run-rate revenue surpassing $47 billion, forms the core driver behind market-implied odds clustered around $1.5–2.5 trillion closing market caps. Trader consensus reflects strong enterprise adoption of Claude models and AI sector momentum, tempered by precedent from the SpaceX IPO repricing and uncertainty over public multiples on forward ARR. The company’s June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and ongoing high-level investor meetings point to a potential fall 2026 debut, with outcomes hinging on prevailing Treasury yields, risk appetite, and any revisions to analyst estimates ahead of pricing. The even distribution across buckets underscores the wide range of possible valuation outcomes given execution and macroeconomic variables.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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