Anthropic’s release cadence for its flagship Claude Opus models—most recently Opus 5 on July 24, 2026, following Opus 4.8 in late May—combined with the September 1 launch of Fable 5.1, has left traders without a clear near-term signal for the next Opus iteration. The closely contested odds reflect this uncertainty, as the company’s September 16 platform updates focused on unified interfaces, Claude Docs, and Slides rather than model capabilities. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google continues to influence timing, yet no official announcements, benchmark leaks, or developer previews have surfaced to shift sentiment toward any single September date. Historical patterns suggest Anthropic often spaces major Opus upgrades by 6–10 weeks, but product timelines remain fluid amid ongoing safety and efficiency refinements.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSeptember 28 14%
September 23 13%
September 24 12%
September 25 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 16, 2026
On or prior to September 16
1%
September 17
6%
September 18
5%
September 19
1%
September 20
5%
September 21
7%
September 22
10%
September 23
13%
September 24
12%
September 25
12%
September 26
5%
September 27
5%
September 28
14%
September 29
12%
September 30
11%
No release by September 30
10%
September 28 14%
September 23 13%
September 24 12%
September 25 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 16, 2026
On or prior to September 16
$149 KL.
1%
September 17
$397 KL.
6%
September 18
$0 KL.
5%
September 19
$447 KL.
1%
September 20
$468 KL.
5%
September 21
$0 KL.
7%
September 22
$0 KL.
10%
September 23
$0 KL.
13%
September 24
$0 KL.
12%
September 25
$0 KL.
12%
September 26
$447 KL.
5%
September 27
$447 KL.
5%
September 28
$0 KL.
14%
September 29
$0 KL.
12%
September 30
$0 KL.
11%
No release by September 30
$0 KL.
10%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s release cadence for its flagship Claude Opus models—most recently Opus 5 on July 24, 2026, following Opus 4.8 in late May—combined with the September 1 launch of Fable 5.1, has left traders without a clear near-term signal for the next Opus iteration. The closely contested odds reflect this uncertainty, as the company’s September 16 platform updates focused on unified interfaces, Claude Docs, and Slides rather than model capabilities. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google continues to influence timing, yet no official announcements, benchmark leaks, or developer previews have surfaced to shift sentiment toward any single September date. Historical patterns suggest Anthropic often spaces major Opus upgrades by 6–10 weeks, but product timelines remain fluid amid ongoing safety and efficiency refinements.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,354Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s release cadence for its flagship Claude Opus models—most recently Opus 5 on July 24, 2026, following Opus 4.8 in late May—combined with the September 1 launch of Fable 5.1, has left traders without a clear near-term signal for the next Opus iteration. The closely contested odds reflect this uncertainty, as the company’s September 16 platform updates focused on unified interfaces, Claude Docs, and Slides rather than model capabilities. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google continues to influence timing, yet no official announcements, benchmark leaks, or developer previews have surfaced to shift sentiment toward any single September date. Historical patterns suggest Anthropic often spaces major Opus upgrades by 6–10 weeks, but product timelines remain fluid amid ongoing safety and efficiency refinements.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$2,354Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s release cadence for its flagship Claude Opus models—most recently Opus 5 on July 24, 2026, following Opus 4.8 in late May—combined with the September 1 launch of Fable 5.1, has left traders without a clear near-term signal for the next Opus iteration. The closely contested odds reflect this uncertainty, as the company’s September 16 platform updates focused on unified interfaces, Claude Docs, and Slides rather than model capabilities. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google continues to influence timing, yet no official announcements, benchmark leaks, or developer previews have surfaced to shift sentiment toward any single September date. Historical patterns suggest Anthropic often spaces major Opus upgrades by 6–10 weeks, but product timelines remain fluid amid ongoing safety and efficiency refinements.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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