Google's announcement at I/O 2026 that Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive in June—following the immediate release of 3.5 Flash—has anchored trader expectations around that window, building on the rapid 3.x iteration pattern that delivered 3 Pro in November 2025 and 3.1 Pro in February 2026. Traders are weighing confirmed progress in agentic workflows, reasoning benchmarks, and multimodal capabilities against typical timeline slippage in frontier model releases, while noting competitive pressure from OpenAI's GPT series and Anthropic's Claude updates. The shift toward "agentic" features and ecosystem integration in Google's May updates reinforces the near-term focus, though any delay past June or surprise jump to a Gemini 4 flagship later in 2026 could reshape positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$65,906 KL.
Jul 31, 2026
June 12
<1%
June 19
10%
June 26
23%
June 30
77%
July 31
94%
$65,906 KL.
June 12
$16,238 KL.
<1%
June 19
$11,135 KL.
10%
June 26
$10,773 KL.
23%
June 30
$17,843 KL.
77%
July 31
$7,454 KL.
94%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's announcement at I/O 2026 that Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive in June—following the immediate release of 3.5 Flash—has anchored trader expectations around that window, building on the rapid 3.x iteration pattern that delivered 3 Pro in November 2025 and 3.1 Pro in February 2026. Traders are weighing confirmed progress in agentic workflows, reasoning benchmarks, and multimodal capabilities against typical timeline slippage in frontier model releases, while noting competitive pressure from OpenAI's GPT series and Anthropic's Claude updates. The shift toward "agentic" features and ecosystem integration in Google's May updates reinforces the near-term focus, though any delay past June or surprise jump to a Gemini 4 flagship later in 2026 could reshape positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jun 1, 2026, 6:54 PM ET
Khối lượng
$65,906Ngày kết thúc
Jul 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 1, 2026, 6:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's announcement at I/O 2026 that Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive in June—following the immediate release of 3.5 Flash—has anchored trader expectations around that window, building on the rapid 3.x iteration pattern that delivered 3 Pro in November 2025 and 3.1 Pro in February 2026. Traders are weighing confirmed progress in agentic workflows, reasoning benchmarks, and multimodal capabilities against typical timeline slippage in frontier model releases, while noting competitive pressure from OpenAI's GPT series and Anthropic's Claude updates. The shift toward "agentic" features and ecosystem integration in Google's May updates reinforces the near-term focus, though any delay past June or surprise jump to a Gemini 4 flagship later in 2026 could reshape positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$65,906Ngày kết thúc
Jul 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 1, 2026, 6:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Google's announcement at I/O 2026 that Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive in June—following the immediate release of 3.5 Flash—has anchored trader expectations around that window, building on the rapid 3.x iteration pattern that delivered 3 Pro in November 2025 and 3.1 Pro in February 2026. Traders are weighing confirmed progress in agentic workflows, reasoning benchmarks, and multimodal capabilities against typical timeline slippage in frontier model releases, while noting competitive pressure from OpenAI's GPT series and Anthropic's Claude updates. The shift toward "agentic" features and ecosystem integration in Google's May updates reinforces the near-term focus, though any delay past June or surprise jump to a Gemini 4 flagship later in 2026 could reshape positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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