Google's next Gemini Pro iteration lacks any confirmed release timeline or recent official announcements as of mid-June 2026, leaving trader sentiment diffuse across June dates. The leading 30.5% implied probability on June 23 and 20% on June 30 reflect historical patterns of incremental model drops or API previews in that window, following May 2026 image model updates and the February Gemini 3.1 Pro launch. Broader uncertainty stems from competitive pressure in the large language model space, where Google DeepMind typically aligns releases with developer conferences or internal benchmarks rather than fixed calendars. The 17.2% chance of no release by June 30 accounts for typical slippage in AI development cycles. Upcoming catalysts include any Google AI Studio changelog entries or executive commentary that could consolidate odds around a specific mid-month date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtJune 23 28%
June 30 21%
No release by June 30 12.5%
June 17 8%
$111,814 KL.
$111,814 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
June 12
<1%
June 13
<1%
June 14
<1%
June 15
1%
June 16
5%
June 17
8%
June 18
5%
June 19
<1%
June 20
1%
June 21
1%
June 22
7%
June 23
28%
June 24
4%
June 25
3%
June 26
6%
June 27
1%
June 28
<1%
June 29
3%
June 30
25%
No release by June 30
13%
June 23 28%
June 30 21%
No release by June 30 12.5%
June 17 8%
$111,814 KL.
$111,814 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
June 12
$2,919 KL.
<1%
June 13
$2,638 KL.
<1%
June 14
$2,635 KL.
<1%
June 15
$1,904 KL.
1%
June 16
$3,285 KL.
5%
June 17
$2,743 KL.
8%
June 18
$2,595 KL.
5%
June 19
$2,346 KL.
<1%
June 20
$1,448 KL.
1%
June 21
$1,345 KL.
1%
June 22
$4,593 KL.
7%
June 23
$4,523 KL.
28%
June 24
$2,937 KL.
4%
June 25
$1,439 KL.
3%
June 26
$3,336 KL.
6%
June 27
$2,009 KL.
1%
June 28
$1,222 KL.
<1%
June 29
$1,805 KL.
3%
June 30
$5,667 KL.
25%
No release by June 30
$16,918 KL.
13%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's next Gemini Pro iteration lacks any confirmed release timeline or recent official announcements as of mid-June 2026, leaving trader sentiment diffuse across June dates. The leading 30.5% implied probability on June 23 and 20% on June 30 reflect historical patterns of incremental model drops or API previews in that window, following May 2026 image model updates and the February Gemini 3.1 Pro launch. Broader uncertainty stems from competitive pressure in the large language model space, where Google DeepMind typically aligns releases with developer conferences or internal benchmarks rather than fixed calendars. The 17.2% chance of no release by June 30 accounts for typical slippage in AI development cycles. Upcoming catalysts include any Google AI Studio changelog entries or executive commentary that could consolidate odds around a specific mid-month date.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$111,814Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's next Gemini Pro iteration lacks any confirmed release timeline or recent official announcements as of mid-June 2026, leaving trader sentiment diffuse across June dates. The leading 30.5% implied probability on June 23 and 20% on June 30 reflect historical patterns of incremental model drops or API previews in that window, following May 2026 image model updates and the February Gemini 3.1 Pro launch. Broader uncertainty stems from competitive pressure in the large language model space, where Google DeepMind typically aligns releases with developer conferences or internal benchmarks rather than fixed calendars. The 17.2% chance of no release by June 30 accounts for typical slippage in AI development cycles. Upcoming catalysts include any Google AI Studio changelog entries or executive commentary that could consolidate odds around a specific mid-month date.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$111,814Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's next Gemini Pro iteration lacks any confirmed release timeline or recent official announcements as of mid-June 2026, leaving trader sentiment diffuse across June dates. The leading 30.5% implied probability on June 23 and 20% on June 30 reflect historical patterns of incremental model drops or API previews in that window, following May 2026 image model updates and the February Gemini 3.1 Pro launch. Broader uncertainty stems from competitive pressure in the large language model space, where Google DeepMind typically aligns releases with developer conferences or internal benchmarks rather than fixed calendars. The 17.2% chance of no release by June 30 accounts for typical slippage in AI development cycles. Upcoming catalysts include any Google AI Studio changelog entries or executive commentary that could consolidate odds around a specific mid-month date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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