The closely matched market-implied odds reflect intense competition among text-to-video models with no dominant leader as of September 2026. Google Veo 3.1 stands out for native audio generation, prompt adherence, and Gemini ecosystem integration, while Kling 3.0 and ByteDance Seedance 2.0 emphasize strong motion control, multi-shot capabilities, and competitive pricing. Runway Gen-4.5 appeals for professional editing tools and character consistency, and Luma variants prioritize realism in image-to-video workflows. OpenAI Sora's low positioning aligns with its ongoing API sunset on September 24, shifting trader focus to ongoing benchmarks in resolution, length, and audio fidelity that could still shift sentiment before November resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtGoogle 28%
MiniMax 26%
Tencent 26%
Black Forest Labs 26%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 30, 2026
28%
MiniMax
26%
Tencent
26%
Black Forest Labs
26%
Pruna
26%
Kandinsky
26%
Pika
26%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
25%
SpaceXAI
25%
OpenAI
14%
Pixverse
14%
Runway
14%
Luma AI
14%
Lightricks
14%
Genmo AI
14%
Meta
14%
ByteDance
13%
KlingAI
13%
Google 28%
MiniMax 26%
Tencent 26%
Black Forest Labs 26%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 30, 2026
$0 KL.
28%
MiniMax
$0 KL.
26%
Tencent
$0 KL.
26%
Black Forest Labs
$0 KL.
26%
Pruna
$0 KL.
26%
Kandinsky
$0 KL.
26%
Pika
$0 KL.
26%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
$0 KL.
25%
SpaceXAI
$0 KL.
25%
OpenAI
$0 KL.
14%
Pixverse
$0 KL.
14%
Runway
$0 KL.
14%
Luma AI
$0 KL.
14%
Lightricks
$0 KL.
14%
Genmo AI
$0 KL.
14%
Meta
$0 KL.
14%
ByteDance
$0 KL.
13%
KlingAI
$0 KL.
13%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The closely matched market-implied odds reflect intense competition among text-to-video models with no dominant leader as of September 2026. Google Veo 3.1 stands out for native audio generation, prompt adherence, and Gemini ecosystem integration, while Kling 3.0 and ByteDance Seedance 2.0 emphasize strong motion control, multi-shot capabilities, and competitive pricing. Runway Gen-4.5 appeals for professional editing tools and character consistency, and Luma variants prioritize realism in image-to-video workflows. OpenAI Sora's low positioning aligns with its ongoing API sunset on September 24, shifting trader focus to ongoing benchmarks in resolution, length, and audio fidelity that could still shift sentiment before November resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Thị trường mở: Sep 17, 2026, 8:15 PM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Dec 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 8:15 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The closely matched market-implied odds reflect intense competition among text-to-video models with no dominant leader as of September 2026. Google Veo 3.1 stands out for native audio generation, prompt adherence, and Gemini ecosystem integration, while Kling 3.0 and ByteDance Seedance 2.0 emphasize strong motion control, multi-shot capabilities, and competitive pricing. Runway Gen-4.5 appeals for professional editing tools and character consistency, and Luma variants prioritize realism in image-to-video workflows. OpenAI Sora's low positioning aligns with its ongoing API sunset on September 24, shifting trader focus to ongoing benchmarks in resolution, length, and audio fidelity that could still shift sentiment before November resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Dec 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 8:15 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched market-implied odds reflect intense competition among text-to-video models with no dominant leader as of September 2026. Google Veo 3.1 stands out for native audio generation, prompt adherence, and Gemini ecosystem integration, while Kling 3.0 and ByteDance Seedance 2.0 emphasize strong motion control, multi-shot capabilities, and competitive pricing. Runway Gen-4.5 appeals for professional editing tools and character consistency, and Luma variants prioritize realism in image-to-video workflows. OpenAI Sora's low positioning aligns with its ongoing API sunset on September 24, shifting trader focus to ongoing benchmarks in resolution, length, and audio fidelity that could still shift sentiment before November resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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