The tightly clustered 50% probabilities on multiple unnamed and “Other” options for second-best AI agent lab reflect intense competition and absence of a clear frontrunner in autonomous systems as of mid-August 2026. Traders see no dominant player in multi-step reasoning, tool use, or reliable real-world execution, with established labs such as OpenAI, Anthropic, Google DeepMind, and Meta alongside specialists like Mistral and emerging Chinese developers all advancing large language model-based agents at similar paces. Differentiators include demonstrated benchmark gains on agent tasks, enterprise integrations, and safety guardrails, yet rapid iteration and shifting release timelines keep outcomes fluid. Any major capability demonstration or partnership before October could reprice the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSpaceXAI 26%
Microsoft 26%
Meta 25%
Google 25%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 31, 2026
SpaceXAI
26%
Microsoft
26%
Meta
25%
25%
DeepSeek
25%
ByteDance
25%
Moonshot
24%
MiniMax
24%
Alibaba
23%
Anthropic
23%
Z.ai
23%
Nvidia
23%
Amazon
23%
Xiaomi
22%
Baidu
22%
Mistral
20%
Meituan
18%
OpenAI
23%
SpaceXAI 26%
Microsoft 26%
Meta 25%
Google 25%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 31, 2026
SpaceXAI
$39 KL.
26%
Microsoft
$39 KL.
26%
Meta
$39 KL.
25%
$39 KL.
25%
DeepSeek
$59 KL.
25%
ByteDance
$39 KL.
25%
Moonshot
$39 KL.
24%
MiniMax
$125 KL.
24%
Alibaba
$39 KL.
23%
Anthropic
$39 KL.
23%
Z.ai
$76 KL.
23%
Nvidia
$86 KL.
23%
Amazon
$87 KL.
23%
Xiaomi
$44 KL.
22%
Baidu
$39 KL.
22%
Mistral
$76 KL.
20%
Meituan
$76 KL.
18%
OpenAI
$44 KL.
23%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The tightly clustered 50% probabilities on multiple unnamed and “Other” options for second-best AI agent lab reflect intense competition and absence of a clear frontrunner in autonomous systems as of mid-August 2026. Traders see no dominant player in multi-step reasoning, tool use, or reliable real-world execution, with established labs such as OpenAI, Anthropic, Google DeepMind, and Meta alongside specialists like Mistral and emerging Chinese developers all advancing large language model-based agents at similar paces. Differentiators include demonstrated benchmark gains on agent tasks, enterprise integrations, and safety guardrails, yet rapid iteration and shifting release timelines keep outcomes fluid. Any major capability demonstration or partnership before October could reprice the market.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,028Ngày kết thúc
Oct 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 4:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The tightly clustered 50% probabilities on multiple unnamed and “Other” options for second-best AI agent lab reflect intense competition and absence of a clear frontrunner in autonomous systems as of mid-August 2026. Traders see no dominant player in multi-step reasoning, tool use, or reliable real-world execution, with established labs such as OpenAI, Anthropic, Google DeepMind, and Meta alongside specialists like Mistral and emerging Chinese developers all advancing large language model-based agents at similar paces. Differentiators include demonstrated benchmark gains on agent tasks, enterprise integrations, and safety guardrails, yet rapid iteration and shifting release timelines keep outcomes fluid. Any major capability demonstration or partnership before October could reprice the market.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Khối lượng
$1,028Ngày kết thúc
Oct 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 4:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tightly clustered 50% probabilities on multiple unnamed and “Other” options for second-best AI agent lab reflect intense competition and absence of a clear frontrunner in autonomous systems as of mid-August 2026. Traders see no dominant player in multi-step reasoning, tool use, or reliable real-world execution, with established labs such as OpenAI, Anthropic, Google DeepMind, and Meta alongside specialists like Mistral and emerging Chinese developers all advancing large language model-based agents at similar paces. Differentiators include demonstrated benchmark gains on agent tasks, enterprise integrations, and safety guardrails, yet rapid iteration and shifting release timelines keep outcomes fluid. Any major capability demonstration or partnership before October could reprice the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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