OpenAI’s GPT Image 2, released in April 2026 and integrated into ChatGPT, drives the 63% implied probability by topping blind-vote arenas with the highest Elo scores for photorealism, prompt adherence, text rendering, and editing. Traders view its multimodal reasoning and broad accessibility as decisive edges over specialized rivals. Google’s Nano Banana models lead pure photorealism benchmarks, while Midjourney V8.1 excels in aesthetics and Recraft targets design workflows, yet none have displaced OpenAI’s overall consensus lead. Black Forest Labs’ FLUX iterations and Ideogram’s typography strengths remain niche contenders. With resolution set for late October, further model updates or new capability demonstrations could still shift sentiment before the close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOpenAI 63%
ByteDance 9%
Reve 8%
Google 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 31, 2026
OpenAI
63%
ByteDance
9%
Reve
8%
8%
Alibaba
8%
Luma AI
8%
SpaceXAI
5%
Tencent
4%
Ideogram
4%
Meta
3%
Microsoft AI
3%
Recraft
6%
Black Forest Labs
1%
OpenAI 63%
ByteDance 9%
Reve 8%
Google 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 31, 2026
OpenAI
$619 KL.
63%
ByteDance
$75 KL.
9%
Reve
$80 KL.
8%
$93 KL.
8%
Alibaba
$75 KL.
8%
Luma AI
$75 KL.
8%
SpaceXAI
$75 KL.
5%
Tencent
$176 KL.
4%
Ideogram
$75 KL.
4%
Meta
$75 KL.
3%
Microsoft AI
$114 KL.
3%
Recraft
$84 KL.
6%
Black Forest Labs
$67 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s GPT Image 2, released in April 2026 and integrated into ChatGPT, drives the 63% implied probability by topping blind-vote arenas with the highest Elo scores for photorealism, prompt adherence, text rendering, and editing. Traders view its multimodal reasoning and broad accessibility as decisive edges over specialized rivals. Google’s Nano Banana models lead pure photorealism benchmarks, while Midjourney V8.1 excels in aesthetics and Recraft targets design workflows, yet none have displaced OpenAI’s overall consensus lead. Black Forest Labs’ FLUX iterations and Ideogram’s typography strengths remain niche contenders. With resolution set for late October, further model updates or new capability demonstrations could still shift sentiment before the close.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,683Ngày kết thúc
Oct 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s GPT Image 2, released in April 2026 and integrated into ChatGPT, drives the 63% implied probability by topping blind-vote arenas with the highest Elo scores for photorealism, prompt adherence, text rendering, and editing. Traders view its multimodal reasoning and broad accessibility as decisive edges over specialized rivals. Google’s Nano Banana models lead pure photorealism benchmarks, while Midjourney V8.1 excels in aesthetics and Recraft targets design workflows, yet none have displaced OpenAI’s overall consensus lead. Black Forest Labs’ FLUX iterations and Ideogram’s typography strengths remain niche contenders. With resolution set for late October, further model updates or new capability demonstrations could still shift sentiment before the close.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Khối lượng
$1,683Ngày kết thúc
Oct 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s GPT Image 2, released in April 2026 and integrated into ChatGPT, drives the 63% implied probability by topping blind-vote arenas with the highest Elo scores for photorealism, prompt adherence, text rendering, and editing. Traders view its multimodal reasoning and broad accessibility as decisive edges over specialized rivals. Google’s Nano Banana models lead pure photorealism benchmarks, while Midjourney V8.1 excels in aesthetics and Recraft targets design workflows, yet none have displaced OpenAI’s overall consensus lead. Black Forest Labs’ FLUX iterations and Ideogram’s typography strengths remain niche contenders. With resolution set for late October, further model updates or new capability demonstrations could still shift sentiment before the close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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