Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models center Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 2 near 25–26°C, reflecting a transient ridge of high pressure promoting partly sunny skies and modest daytime heating amid moderating northwesterly flow. This aligns closely with historical August climatology for the city, where typical highs average around 25–26°C. Market clustering around these thresholds stems from minor model disagreements on exact peak values, influenced by uncertainties in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and subtle steering patterns that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these variables ahead of official observations from monitoring stations, with limited upside risk for 27°C+ under current guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 2?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 2?
25°C 35%
26°C 28%
24°C 19%
27°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 2, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
19%
25°C
35%
26°C
28%
27°C
11%
28°C or higher
4%
25°C 35%
26°C 28%
24°C 19%
27°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 2, 2026
18°C or below
$133 KL.
<1%
19°C
$213 KL.
<1%
20°C
$254 KL.
<1%
21°C
$110 KL.
1%
22°C
$10 KL.
2%
23°C
$213 KL.
5%
24°C
$399 KL.
19%
25°C
$224 KL.
35%
26°C
$241 KL.
28%
27°C
$97 KL.
11%
28°C or higher
$935 KL.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models center Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 2 near 25–26°C, reflecting a transient ridge of high pressure promoting partly sunny skies and modest daytime heating amid moderating northwesterly flow. This aligns closely with historical August climatology for the city, where typical highs average around 25–26°C. Market clustering around these thresholds stems from minor model disagreements on exact peak values, influenced by uncertainties in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and subtle steering patterns that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these variables ahead of official observations from monitoring stations, with limited upside risk for 27°C+ under current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,827Ngày kết thúc
Aug 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models center Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 2 near 25–26°C, reflecting a transient ridge of high pressure promoting partly sunny skies and modest daytime heating amid moderating northwesterly flow. This aligns closely with historical August climatology for the city, where typical highs average around 25–26°C. Market clustering around these thresholds stems from minor model disagreements on exact peak values, influenced by uncertainties in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and subtle steering patterns that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these variables ahead of official observations from monitoring stations, with limited upside risk for 27°C+ under current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,827Ngày kết thúc
Aug 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models center Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 2 near 25–26°C, reflecting a transient ridge of high pressure promoting partly sunny skies and modest daytime heating amid moderating northwesterly flow. This aligns closely with historical August climatology for the city, where typical highs average around 25–26°C. Market clustering around these thresholds stems from minor model disagreements on exact peak values, influenced by uncertainties in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and subtle steering patterns that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these variables ahead of official observations from monitoring stations, with limited upside risk for 27°C+ under current guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp