Current forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and international sources indicate a high near 28–29°C for Munich on August 1, with light winds, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating from a stable high-pressure ridge. This positions the market-implied probabilities for 28°C (31.5%) and 29°C (35.5%) as closely matched outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact maximum readings influenced by urban heat-island effects versus official airport measurements. Historical August averages near 23–25°C provide context, yet recent model runs show modest warming from regional airflow patterns without significant advection of hotter air masses. Traders weigh these variables against potential afternoon convective cooling or measurement thresholds at resolution time.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Munich on August 1?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 1?
29°C 36%
28°C 32%
27°C 15.5%
30°C 12%
MỚI
$61,920 KL.
MỚI
$61,920 KL.
Aug 1, 2026
26°C or below
4%
27°C
16%
28°C
32%
29°C
36%
30°C
12%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 36%
28°C 32%
27°C 15.5%
30°C 12%
MỚI
$61,920 KL.
MỚI
$61,920 KL.
Aug 1, 2026
26°C or below
$6,927 KL.
4%
27°C
$6,640 KL.
16%
28°C
$10,632 KL.
32%
29°C
$9,504 KL.
36%
30°C
$9,567 KL.
12%
31°C
$8,990 KL.
1%
32°C
$3,823 KL.
1%
33°C
$1,448 KL.
<1%
34°C
$834 KL.
<1%
35°C
$1,632 KL.
<1%
36°C or higher
$1,923 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and international sources indicate a high near 28–29°C for Munich on August 1, with light winds, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating from a stable high-pressure ridge. This positions the market-implied probabilities for 28°C (31.5%) and 29°C (35.5%) as closely matched outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact maximum readings influenced by urban heat-island effects versus official airport measurements. Historical August averages near 23–25°C provide context, yet recent model runs show modest warming from regional airflow patterns without significant advection of hotter air masses. Traders weigh these variables against potential afternoon convective cooling or measurement thresholds at resolution time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$61,920Ngày kết thúc
Aug 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and international sources indicate a high near 28–29°C for Munich on August 1, with light winds, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating from a stable high-pressure ridge. This positions the market-implied probabilities for 28°C (31.5%) and 29°C (35.5%) as closely matched outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact maximum readings influenced by urban heat-island effects versus official airport measurements. Historical August averages near 23–25°C provide context, yet recent model runs show modest warming from regional airflow patterns without significant advection of hotter air masses. Traders weigh these variables against potential afternoon convective cooling or measurement thresholds at resolution time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$61,920Ngày kết thúc
Aug 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and international sources indicate a high near 28–29°C for Munich on August 1, with light winds, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating from a stable high-pressure ridge. This positions the market-implied probabilities for 28°C (31.5%) and 29°C (35.5%) as closely matched outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact maximum readings influenced by urban heat-island effects versus official airport measurements. Historical August averages near 23–25°C provide context, yet recent model runs show modest warming from regional airflow patterns without significant advection of hotter air masses. Traders weigh these variables against potential afternoon convective cooling or measurement thresholds at resolution time.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp