Persistent heat across South Florida, reinforced by a National Weather Service heat advisory and recent days with highs in the mid-90s at Miami International Airport, drives the overwhelming trader consensus toward a 96-97°F peak on July 31. NOAA point forecasts and model consensus indicate partly sunny conditions with heat indices exceeding 100°F, consistent with 2026's elevated baseline temperatures relative to July climatology of 91°F. Afternoon sea-breeze convection could introduce variability, but current steering patterns and moisture profiles favor limited cooling before the daily maximum. A rapid increase in thunderstorm coverage or thicker cloud deck during peak heating hours represents the primary realistic pathway to a lower outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Miami on July 31?
Highest temperature in Miami on July 31?
96-97°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$43,753 KL.
$43,753 KL.
Jul 31, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
100%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$43,753 KL.
$43,753 KL.
Jul 31, 2026
87°F or below
$760 KL.
<1%
88-89°F
$3,026 KL.
<1%
90-91°F
$2,383 KL.
<1%
92-93°F
$6,733 KL.
<1%
94-95°F
$7,688 KL.
<1%
96-97°F
$8,591 KL.
100%
98-99°F
$9,351 KL.
<1%
100-101°F
$2,328 KL.
<1%
102-103°F
$1,220 KL.
<1%
104-105°F
$1,065 KL.
<1%
106°F or higher
$606 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat across South Florida, reinforced by a National Weather Service heat advisory and recent days with highs in the mid-90s at Miami International Airport, drives the overwhelming trader consensus toward a 96-97°F peak on July 31. NOAA point forecasts and model consensus indicate partly sunny conditions with heat indices exceeding 100°F, consistent with 2026's elevated baseline temperatures relative to July climatology of 91°F. Afternoon sea-breeze convection could introduce variability, but current steering patterns and moisture profiles favor limited cooling before the daily maximum. A rapid increase in thunderstorm coverage or thicker cloud deck during peak heating hours represents the primary realistic pathway to a lower outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Khối lượng
$43,753Ngày kết thúc
Jul 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat across South Florida, reinforced by a National Weather Service heat advisory and recent days with highs in the mid-90s at Miami International Airport, drives the overwhelming trader consensus toward a 96-97°F peak on July 31. NOAA point forecasts and model consensus indicate partly sunny conditions with heat indices exceeding 100°F, consistent with 2026's elevated baseline temperatures relative to July climatology of 91°F. Afternoon sea-breeze convection could introduce variability, but current steering patterns and moisture profiles favor limited cooling before the daily maximum. A rapid increase in thunderstorm coverage or thicker cloud deck during peak heating hours represents the primary realistic pathway to a lower outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$43,753Ngày kết thúc
Jul 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heat across South Florida, reinforced by a National Weather Service heat advisory and recent days with highs in the mid-90s at Miami International Airport, drives the overwhelming trader consensus toward a 96-97°F peak on July 31. NOAA point forecasts and model consensus indicate partly sunny conditions with heat indices exceeding 100°F, consistent with 2026's elevated baseline temperatures relative to July climatology of 91°F. Afternoon sea-breeze convection could introduce variability, but current steering patterns and moisture profiles favor limited cooling before the daily maximum. A rapid increase in thunderstorm coverage or thicker cloud deck during peak heating hours represents the primary realistic pathway to a lower outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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