Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a modest warm anomaly for Amsterdam on August 2, with maximum temperatures most likely in the 26–27 °C range under weak high pressure and light southerly flow. This setup favors daytime heating with limited cloud cover and reduced marine influence from the North Sea, pushing readings several degrees above early-August climatology near 22 °C. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any weak frontal boundary and boundary-layer mixing depth; stronger onshore winds or increased afternoon cloud would cap the peak near 26 °C, while clearer skies and continued southerly advection support 27–28 °C. Traders are weighting ensemble means and recent runs showing limited spread, with final updates expected from KNMI and ECMWF before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 2?
26°C 38%
27°C 38%
25°C 16%
28°C 8%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
16%
26°C
38%
27°C
38%
28°C
8%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 38%
27°C 38%
25°C 16%
28°C 8%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
16%
26°C
38%
27°C
38%
28°C
8%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a modest warm anomaly for Amsterdam on August 2, with maximum temperatures most likely in the 26–27 °C range under weak high pressure and light southerly flow. This setup favors daytime heating with limited cloud cover and reduced marine influence from the North Sea, pushing readings several degrees above early-August climatology near 22 °C. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any weak frontal boundary and boundary-layer mixing depth; stronger onshore winds or increased afternoon cloud would cap the peak near 26 °C, while clearer skies and continued southerly advection support 27–28 °C. Traders are weighting ensemble means and recent runs showing limited spread, with final updates expected from KNMI and ECMWF before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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