Traders have converged on 27°C as the highest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on July 31 because official Hong Kong Observatory data confirm a daily maximum of exactly that value at the primary urban stations. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorm activity suppressed daytime heating, preventing the strong solar insolation typical of late-July subtropical conditions from pushing readings higher. This outcome aligns with the observatory’s automated regional network and contrasts with the seasonal climatological mean maximum near 31–32 °C. While measurement revisions or station-specific microclimate differences are theoretically possible, the multi-site consistency and absence of extreme heat advection make significant upward adjustments highly unlikely before final verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on July 31?
27°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$169,237 KL.
$169,237 KL.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$169,237 KL.
$169,237 KL.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Jul 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged on 27°C as the highest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on July 31 because official Hong Kong Observatory data confirm a daily maximum of exactly that value at the primary urban stations. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorm activity suppressed daytime heating, preventing the strong solar insolation typical of late-July subtropical conditions from pushing readings higher. This outcome aligns with the observatory’s automated regional network and contrasts with the seasonal climatological mean maximum near 31–32 °C. While measurement revisions or station-specific microclimate differences are theoretically possible, the multi-site consistency and absence of extreme heat advection make significant upward adjustments highly unlikely before final verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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