Persistent high pressure over northern Italy, driving strong subsidence and clear skies, underpins trader consensus around a Milan maximum of 33–35°C on August 2. Latest model guidance shows modest spread in peak temperatures due to small differences in boundary-layer mixing, local wind patterns across the Po Valley, and slight variations in the strength of the subtropical ridge. With resolution just one day away, markets closely track final ECMWF and GFS runs for any adjustments to the expected afternoon high, while climatological August baselines near 30°C and recent heat-wave persistence support the elevated range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Milan on August 2?
34°C 35%
33°C 27%
35°C 22%
36°C 8%
$12,497 KL.
$12,497 KL.
31°C or below
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
27%
34°C
35%
35°C
22%
36°C
8%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 35%
33°C 27%
35°C 22%
36°C 8%
$12,497 KL.
$12,497 KL.
31°C or below
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
27%
34°C
35%
35°C
22%
36°C
8%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure over northern Italy, driving strong subsidence and clear skies, underpins trader consensus around a Milan maximum of 33–35°C on August 2. Latest model guidance shows modest spread in peak temperatures due to small differences in boundary-layer mixing, local wind patterns across the Po Valley, and slight variations in the strength of the subtropical ridge. With resolution just one day away, markets closely track final ECMWF and GFS runs for any adjustments to the expected afternoon high, while climatological August baselines near 30°C and recent heat-wave persistence support the elevated range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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