Latest forecasts from agencies including AEMET and BBC Weather indicate a peak near 36°C in Madrid on August 2 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light southwesterly winds, with limited cloud cover or moisture to moderate daytime heating. This aligns closely with the market's near-even split between 36°C and 37°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in model runs over exact timing of the diurnal maximum and urban heat-island amplification at official stations. Historical August baselines average 31-33°C, yet current atmospheric patterns support readings 3-5°C above normal without extreme heatwave conditions. Final resolution hinges on AEMET's verified observations, where minor shifts in wind or insolation could tip the difference between the two leading probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on August 2?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 2?
36°C 48%
37°C 44%
38°C 6%
35°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 2, 2026
32°C or below
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
4%
36°C
48%
37°C
44%
38°C
6%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 48%
37°C 44%
38°C 6%
35°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 2, 2026
32°C or below
$562 KL.
1%
33°C
$294 KL.
1%
34°C
$577 KL.
2%
35°C
$1,077 KL.
4%
36°C
$2,094 KL.
48%
37°C
$2,049 KL.
44%
38°C
$346 KL.
6%
39°C
$477 KL.
1%
40°C
$359 KL.
1%
41°C
$218 KL.
<1%
42°C or higher
$232 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from agencies including AEMET and BBC Weather indicate a peak near 36°C in Madrid on August 2 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light southwesterly winds, with limited cloud cover or moisture to moderate daytime heating. This aligns closely with the market's near-even split between 36°C and 37°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in model runs over exact timing of the diurnal maximum and urban heat-island amplification at official stations. Historical August baselines average 31-33°C, yet current atmospheric patterns support readings 3-5°C above normal without extreme heatwave conditions. Final resolution hinges on AEMET's verified observations, where minor shifts in wind or insolation could tip the difference between the two leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,286Ngày kết thúc
Aug 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from agencies including AEMET and BBC Weather indicate a peak near 36°C in Madrid on August 2 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light southwesterly winds, with limited cloud cover or moisture to moderate daytime heating. This aligns closely with the market's near-even split between 36°C and 37°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in model runs over exact timing of the diurnal maximum and urban heat-island amplification at official stations. Historical August baselines average 31-33°C, yet current atmospheric patterns support readings 3-5°C above normal without extreme heatwave conditions. Final resolution hinges on AEMET's verified observations, where minor shifts in wind or insolation could tip the difference between the two leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$8,286Ngày kết thúc
Aug 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from agencies including AEMET and BBC Weather indicate a peak near 36°C in Madrid on August 2 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light southwesterly winds, with limited cloud cover or moisture to moderate daytime heating. This aligns closely with the market's near-even split between 36°C and 37°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in model runs over exact timing of the diurnal maximum and urban heat-island amplification at official stations. Historical August baselines average 31-33°C, yet current atmospheric patterns support readings 3-5°C above normal without extreme heatwave conditions. Final resolution hinges on AEMET's verified observations, where minor shifts in wind or insolation could tip the difference between the two leading probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp