High-pressure systems dominating western Europe have driven the market toward 31–33°C as the leading outcomes for Paris’s August 2 maximum, with 32°C holding the highest implied probability at 49%. Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model runs from ECMWF indicate continued subsidence and clear skies will sustain temperatures well above the 24–26°C seasonal average, while limited moisture and weak winds limit cooling overnight. Minor model spread on the precise timing of any Atlantic trough approach keeps 31°C and 33°C nearly tied at 22.5% each. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak, as resolution hinges on official observations from Paris-Montsouris.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on August 2?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 2?
32°C 50%
31°C 23%
33°C 23%
30°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 2, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
23%
32°C
50%
33°C
23%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 50%
31°C 23%
33°C 23%
30°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 2, 2026
28°C or below
$325 KL.
1%
29°C
$173 KL.
2%
30°C
$441 KL.
6%
31°C
$1,252 KL.
23%
32°C
$585 KL.
50%
33°C
$558 KL.
23%
34°C
$528 KL.
3%
35°C
$230 KL.
1%
36°C
$237 KL.
<1%
37°C
$162 KL.
<1%
38°C or higher
$207 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High-pressure systems dominating western Europe have driven the market toward 31–33°C as the leading outcomes for Paris’s August 2 maximum, with 32°C holding the highest implied probability at 49%. Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model runs from ECMWF indicate continued subsidence and clear skies will sustain temperatures well above the 24–26°C seasonal average, while limited moisture and weak winds limit cooling overnight. Minor model spread on the precise timing of any Atlantic trough approach keeps 31°C and 33°C nearly tied at 22.5% each. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak, as resolution hinges on official observations from Paris-Montsouris.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,699Ngày kết thúc
Aug 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High-pressure systems dominating western Europe have driven the market toward 31–33°C as the leading outcomes for Paris’s August 2 maximum, with 32°C holding the highest implied probability at 49%. Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model runs from ECMWF indicate continued subsidence and clear skies will sustain temperatures well above the 24–26°C seasonal average, while limited moisture and weak winds limit cooling overnight. Minor model spread on the precise timing of any Atlantic trough approach keeps 31°C and 33°C nearly tied at 22.5% each. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak, as resolution hinges on official observations from Paris-Montsouris.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,699Ngày kết thúc
Aug 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...High-pressure systems dominating western Europe have driven the market toward 31–33°C as the leading outcomes for Paris’s August 2 maximum, with 32°C holding the highest implied probability at 49%. Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model runs from ECMWF indicate continued subsidence and clear skies will sustain temperatures well above the 24–26°C seasonal average, while limited moisture and weak winds limit cooling overnight. Minor model spread on the precise timing of any Atlantic trough approach keeps 31°C and 33°C nearly tied at 22.5% each. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak, as resolution hinges on official observations from Paris-Montsouris.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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