Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate Moscow's August 2 high will likely reach 29–30°C, driven by a strengthening ridge of high pressure promoting southerly flow and mostly clear skies, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected. Official guidance from agencies such as the Russian Hydrometeorological Center aligns with this range, consistent with climatological peaks for early August when seasonal warmth often maximizes before gradual cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 30°C and nearby bins, incorporates model consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C from ensemble spreads. Upcoming high-resolution runs and observational updates from surface stations will further refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on August 2?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 2?
30°C 46%
29°C 23%
31°C 20%
28°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 2, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
23%
30°C
46%
31°C
20%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 46%
29°C 23%
31°C 20%
28°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 2, 2026
23°C or below
$126 KL.
<1%
24°C
$107 KL.
<1%
25°C
$215 KL.
1%
26°C
$716 KL.
2%
27°C
$363 KL.
3%
28°C
$154 KL.
7%
29°C
$615 KL.
23%
30°C
$761 KL.
46%
31°C
$799 KL.
20%
32°C
$190 KL.
4%
33°C or higher
$168 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate Moscow's August 2 high will likely reach 29–30°C, driven by a strengthening ridge of high pressure promoting southerly flow and mostly clear skies, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected. Official guidance from agencies such as the Russian Hydrometeorological Center aligns with this range, consistent with climatological peaks for early August when seasonal warmth often maximizes before gradual cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 30°C and nearby bins, incorporates model consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C from ensemble spreads. Upcoming high-resolution runs and observational updates from surface stations will further refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,213Ngày kết thúc
Aug 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate Moscow's August 2 high will likely reach 29–30°C, driven by a strengthening ridge of high pressure promoting southerly flow and mostly clear skies, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected. Official guidance from agencies such as the Russian Hydrometeorological Center aligns with this range, consistent with climatological peaks for early August when seasonal warmth often maximizes before gradual cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 30°C and nearby bins, incorporates model consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C from ensemble spreads. Upcoming high-resolution runs and observational updates from surface stations will further refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,213Ngày kết thúc
Aug 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate Moscow's August 2 high will likely reach 29–30°C, driven by a strengthening ridge of high pressure promoting southerly flow and mostly clear skies, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected. Official guidance from agencies such as the Russian Hydrometeorological Center aligns with this range, consistent with climatological peaks for early August when seasonal warmth often maximizes before gradual cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 30°C and nearby bins, incorporates model consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C from ensemble spreads. Upcoming high-resolution runs and observational updates from surface stations will further refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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