**Trader sentiment centers on 27°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul’s highest temperature on August 1 because near-term forecast models from major agencies align closely with seasonal climatology for early August, when average daily highs typically reach 28–29°C.** Stable high-pressure conditions and moderate northeasterly winds are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping the peak near or slightly below the long-term norm. Recent model consensus shows minimal spread, with little indication of stronger warming or cooling influences such as unusual humidity or cloud cover. The 26°C and 28°C outcomes capture residual uncertainty in the final 24–48 hours before resolution, while probabilities for extremes remain negligible given the absence of atypical atmospheric patterns. Upcoming official updates from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine these implied probabilities as the date approaches.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 1?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 1?
27°C 69%
26°C 25%
28°C 6%
25°C 4%
MỚI
$10,430 KL.
MỚI
$10,430 KL.
Aug 1, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
25%
27°C
69%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 69%
26°C 25%
28°C 6%
25°C 4%
MỚI
$10,430 KL.
MỚI
$10,430 KL.
Aug 1, 2026
22°C or below
$234 KL.
<1%
23°C
$470 KL.
<1%
24°C
$447 KL.
<1%
25°C
$447 KL.
4%
26°C
$1,591 KL.
25%
27°C
$3,506 KL.
69%
28°C
$2,136 KL.
6%
29°C
$523 KL.
2%
30°C
$319 KL.
<1%
31°C
$518 KL.
<1%
32°C or higher
$238 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment centers on 27°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul’s highest temperature on August 1 because near-term forecast models from major agencies align closely with seasonal climatology for early August, when average daily highs typically reach 28–29°C.** Stable high-pressure conditions and moderate northeasterly winds are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping the peak near or slightly below the long-term norm. Recent model consensus shows minimal spread, with little indication of stronger warming or cooling influences such as unusual humidity or cloud cover. The 26°C and 28°C outcomes capture residual uncertainty in the final 24–48 hours before resolution, while probabilities for extremes remain negligible given the absence of atypical atmospheric patterns. Upcoming official updates from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine these implied probabilities as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$10,430Ngày kết thúc
Aug 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment centers on 27°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul’s highest temperature on August 1 because near-term forecast models from major agencies align closely with seasonal climatology for early August, when average daily highs typically reach 28–29°C.** Stable high-pressure conditions and moderate northeasterly winds are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping the peak near or slightly below the long-term norm. Recent model consensus shows minimal spread, with little indication of stronger warming or cooling influences such as unusual humidity or cloud cover. The 26°C and 28°C outcomes capture residual uncertainty in the final 24–48 hours before resolution, while probabilities for extremes remain negligible given the absence of atypical atmospheric patterns. Upcoming official updates from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine these implied probabilities as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$10,430Ngày kết thúc
Aug 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment centers on 27°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul’s highest temperature on August 1 because near-term forecast models from major agencies align closely with seasonal climatology for early August, when average daily highs typically reach 28–29°C.** Stable high-pressure conditions and moderate northeasterly winds are expected to limit daytime heating, keeping the peak near or slightly below the long-term norm. Recent model consensus shows minimal spread, with little indication of stronger warming or cooling influences such as unusual humidity or cloud cover. The 26°C and 28°C outcomes capture residual uncertainty in the final 24–48 hours before resolution, while probabilities for extremes remain negligible given the absence of atypical atmospheric patterns. Upcoming official updates from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine these implied probabilities as the date approaches.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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