Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, updated in the past day, indicate a Moscow high of 25–28°C on August 1 under hot, cloudy conditions without precipitation, directly supporting the market's emphasis on 27°C (55.5%) and 28°C (22.5%). These projections align with current steering patterns and limited daytime heating from partial cloud cover, which caps intensification while historical August averages hover near 23–24°C. Model consensus shows narrow spreads around these values, with minimal risk of deviation into the 29°C+ range or below 25°C given stable high-pressure influence and no incoming fronts. Upcoming real-time observations from ground stations will refine final resolution as the day progresses.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on August 1?
27°C 56%
28°C 21%
26°C 13%
29°C 10%
$23,495 KL.
$23,495 KL.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
13%
27°C
56%
28°C
21%
29°C
10%
30°C or higher
1%
27°C 56%
28°C 21%
26°C 13%
29°C 10%
$23,495 KL.
$23,495 KL.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
13%
27°C
56%
28°C
21%
29°C
10%
30°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, updated in the past day, indicate a Moscow high of 25–28°C on August 1 under hot, cloudy conditions without precipitation, directly supporting the market's emphasis on 27°C (55.5%) and 28°C (22.5%). These projections align with current steering patterns and limited daytime heating from partial cloud cover, which caps intensification while historical August averages hover near 23–24°C. Model consensus shows narrow spreads around these values, with minimal risk of deviation into the 29°C+ range or below 25°C given stable high-pressure influence and no incoming fronts. Upcoming real-time observations from ground stations will refine final resolution as the day progresses.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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