Anthropic models currently lead the Text Arena Math category with the highest scores, driving trader consensus around its 50% implied probability alongside a broad "Other" option at the same level. Multiple frontier labs maintain close positioning through rapid iteration on large language models specialized for mathematical reasoning, where demonstrated strengths in chain-of-thought accuracy, benchmark consistency, and real-time arena voting determine rankings. OpenAI, Google, Z.ai, Moonshot, and Alibaba trail at lower probabilities reflecting solid but secondary placements, while smaller labs like Mistral and Meta sit further back amid ongoing releases. With resolution still months away, new model drops, capability jumps on uncontaminated math problems, and shifts in community voting patterns remain key swing factors that could reorder the leaderboard before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?
Microsoft 26%
SpaceXAI 25%
Google 24%
Z.ai 23%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
Microsoft
26%
SpaceXAI
25%
24%
Z.ai
23%
DeepSeek
23%
Mistral
23%
Thinky
23%
ByteDance
23%
Meta
22%
StepFun
22%
Xiaomi
22%
Tencent
22%
Baidu
21%
Amazon
21%
OpenAI
16%
Anthropic
15%
Nvidia
14%
Meituan
14%
Alibaba
13%
Moonshot
13%
MiniMax
13%
Microsoft 26%
SpaceXAI 25%
Google 24%
Z.ai 23%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
Microsoft
$0 Обс.
26%
SpaceXAI
$0 Обс.
25%
$0 Обс.
24%
Z.ai
$0 Обс.
23%
DeepSeek
$0 Обс.
23%
Mistral
$45 Обс.
23%
Thinky
$0 Обс.
23%
ByteDance
$0 Обс.
23%
Meta
$0 Обс.
22%
StepFun
$0 Обс.
22%
Xiaomi
$0 Обс.
22%
Tencent
$0 Обс.
22%
Baidu
$0 Обс.
21%
Amazon
$29 Обс.
21%
OpenAI
$0 Обс.
16%
Anthropic
$0 Обс.
15%
Nvidia
$0 Обс.
14%
Meituan
$0 Обс.
14%
Alibaba
$0 Обс.
13%
Moonshot
$0 Обс.
13%
MiniMax
$0 Обс.
13%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic models currently lead the Text Arena Math category with the highest scores, driving trader consensus around its 50% implied probability alongside a broad "Other" option at the same level. Multiple frontier labs maintain close positioning through rapid iteration on large language models specialized for mathematical reasoning, where demonstrated strengths in chain-of-thought accuracy, benchmark consistency, and real-time arena voting determine rankings. OpenAI, Google, Z.ai, Moonshot, and Alibaba trail at lower probabilities reflecting solid but secondary placements, while smaller labs like Mistral and Meta sit further back amid ongoing releases. With resolution still months away, new model drops, capability jumps on uncontaminated math problems, and shifts in community voting patterns remain key swing factors that could reorder the leaderboard before November.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
Обсяг
$74Дата завершення
Dec 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic models currently lead the Text Arena Math category with the highest scores, driving trader consensus around its 50% implied probability alongside a broad "Other" option at the same level. Multiple frontier labs maintain close positioning through rapid iteration on large language models specialized for mathematical reasoning, where demonstrated strengths in chain-of-thought accuracy, benchmark consistency, and real-time arena voting determine rankings. OpenAI, Google, Z.ai, Moonshot, and Alibaba trail at lower probabilities reflecting solid but secondary placements, while smaller labs like Mistral and Meta sit further back amid ongoing releases. With resolution still months away, new model drops, capability jumps on uncontaminated math problems, and shifts in community voting patterns remain key swing factors that could reorder the leaderboard before November.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Обсяг
$74Дата завершення
Dec 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic models currently lead the Text Arena Math category with the highest scores, driving trader consensus around its 50% implied probability alongside a broad "Other" option at the same level. Multiple frontier labs maintain close positioning through rapid iteration on large language models specialized for mathematical reasoning, where demonstrated strengths in chain-of-thought accuracy, benchmark consistency, and real-time arena voting determine rankings. OpenAI, Google, Z.ai, Moonshot, and Alibaba trail at lower probabilities reflecting solid but secondary placements, while smaller labs like Mistral and Meta sit further back amid ongoing releases. With resolution still months away, new model drops, capability jumps on uncontaminated math problems, and shifts in community voting patterns remain key swing factors that could reorder the leaderboard before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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