Anthropic’s July 24 release of Claude Opus 5, featuring a 1-million-token context window, thinking mode by default, and improved efficiency over Opus 4.8, has shifted trader focus to the timeline for the subsequent Opus model. The company’s rapid cadence—four Opus 4.x updates from February through May 2026—combined with its $30B Series G funding and Vercept acquisition, signals sustained development momentum against GPT-5 and Gemini 3. Traders weigh historical iteration patterns and competitive pressure when assessing whether a new Opus arrives before year-end or slips into 2027, with upcoming earnings calls and developer conferences likely to provide fresh signals on internal roadmaps.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNext Claude Opus released by...?
Next Claude Opus released by...?
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
8%
October 31
59%
December 31
91%
$2,029 Обс.
August 31
$527 Обс.
8%
October 31
$995 Обс.
59%
December 31
$507 Обс.
91%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s July 24 release of Claude Opus 5, featuring a 1-million-token context window, thinking mode by default, and improved efficiency over Opus 4.8, has shifted trader focus to the timeline for the subsequent Opus model. The company’s rapid cadence—four Opus 4.x updates from February through May 2026—combined with its $30B Series G funding and Vercept acquisition, signals sustained development momentum against GPT-5 and Gemini 3. Traders weigh historical iteration patterns and competitive pressure when assessing whether a new Opus arrives before year-end or slips into 2027, with upcoming earnings calls and developer conferences likely to provide fresh signals on internal roadmaps.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 28, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,029Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 28, 2026, 6:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s July 24 release of Claude Opus 5, featuring a 1-million-token context window, thinking mode by default, and improved efficiency over Opus 4.8, has shifted trader focus to the timeline for the subsequent Opus model. The company’s rapid cadence—four Opus 4.x updates from February through May 2026—combined with its $30B Series G funding and Vercept acquisition, signals sustained development momentum against GPT-5 and Gemini 3. Traders weigh historical iteration patterns and competitive pressure when assessing whether a new Opus arrives before year-end or slips into 2027, with upcoming earnings calls and developer conferences likely to provide fresh signals on internal roadmaps.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$2,029Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 28, 2026, 6:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s July 24 release of Claude Opus 5, featuring a 1-million-token context window, thinking mode by default, and improved efficiency over Opus 4.8, has shifted trader focus to the timeline for the subsequent Opus model. The company’s rapid cadence—four Opus 4.x updates from February through May 2026—combined with its $30B Series G funding and Vercept acquisition, signals sustained development momentum against GPT-5 and Gemini 3. Traders weigh historical iteration patterns and competitive pressure when assessing whether a new Opus arrives before year-end or slips into 2027, with upcoming earnings calls and developer conferences likely to provide fresh signals on internal roadmaps.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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