Anthropic has prioritized its Claude 5-series flagship models in 2026, releasing Sonnet 5 in late June, Opus 5 in July, and Fable 5.1 plus Mythos 5.1 on September 1, while the lightweight Haiku tier remains on the October 2025 Haiku 4.5 release. This pattern follows prior cycles where smaller models like Haiku 4.5 arrived weeks after Sonnet 4.5 to deliver comparable coding, tool-use, and agent performance at lower cost and higher speed. No official timeline or announcement exists for a Haiku 5 update as of early September 2026, though the generational gap and developer demand for faster, cheaper inference create pressure for an imminent refresh. Traders watch for Anthropic blog posts, system cards, or API deprecation notices that could signal the next model’s arrival and shift implied probabilities around specific release windows.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNext Claude Haiku released by...?
Next Claude Haiku released by...?
НОВЕ
Oct 15, 2026
October 15
46%
October 31
49%
December 31
60%
$9,078 Обс.
October 15
$0 Обс.
46%
October 31
$937 Обс.
49%
December 31
$4,389 Обс.
60%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic has prioritized its Claude 5-series flagship models in 2026, releasing Sonnet 5 in late June, Opus 5 in July, and Fable 5.1 plus Mythos 5.1 on September 1, while the lightweight Haiku tier remains on the October 2025 Haiku 4.5 release. This pattern follows prior cycles where smaller models like Haiku 4.5 arrived weeks after Sonnet 4.5 to deliver comparable coding, tool-use, and agent performance at lower cost and higher speed. No official timeline or announcement exists for a Haiku 5 update as of early September 2026, though the generational gap and developer demand for faster, cheaper inference create pressure for an imminent refresh. Traders watch for Anthropic blog posts, system cards, or API deprecation notices that could signal the next model’s arrival and shift implied probabilities around specific release windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,078Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic has prioritized its Claude 5-series flagship models in 2026, releasing Sonnet 5 in late June, Opus 5 in July, and Fable 5.1 plus Mythos 5.1 on September 1, while the lightweight Haiku tier remains on the October 2025 Haiku 4.5 release. This pattern follows prior cycles where smaller models like Haiku 4.5 arrived weeks after Sonnet 4.5 to deliver comparable coding, tool-use, and agent performance at lower cost and higher speed. No official timeline or announcement exists for a Haiku 5 update as of early September 2026, though the generational gap and developer demand for faster, cheaper inference create pressure for an imminent refresh. Traders watch for Anthropic blog posts, system cards, or API deprecation notices that could signal the next model’s arrival and shift implied probabilities around specific release windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$9,078Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Anthropic has prioritized its Claude 5-series flagship models in 2026, releasing Sonnet 5 in late June, Opus 5 in July, and Fable 5.1 plus Mythos 5.1 on September 1, while the lightweight Haiku tier remains on the October 2025 Haiku 4.5 release. This pattern follows prior cycles where smaller models like Haiku 4.5 arrived weeks after Sonnet 4.5 to deliver comparable coding, tool-use, and agent performance at lower cost and higher speed. No official timeline or announcement exists for a Haiku 5 update as of early September 2026, though the generational gap and developer demand for faster, cheaper inference create pressure for an imminent refresh. Traders watch for Anthropic blog posts, system cards, or API deprecation notices that could signal the next model’s arrival and shift implied probabilities around specific release windows.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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