Meta’s modest lead at 53.5% amid a tight cluster of outcomes near 50% underscores how traders view the frontier as highly fluid, with no single lab holding a durable edge through end-August. Frequent releases from OpenAI (GPT-5.6 variants) and Anthropic (Claude Fable 5, Sonnet 5) have kept benchmarks shifting week to week on reasoning and coding tasks, while Google’s Gemini models trail at 12% despite multimodal strengths. Meta benefits from open-weight momentum and rapid iteration potential that could still sway leaderboards before the cutoff. Key catalysts include any verified benchmark gains or new model drops in the next six weeks that could break the current deadlock.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich company has best AI model end of August?
Which company has best AI model end of August?
Anthropic 94%
Google 5.1%
OpenAI 1.8%
Moonshot <1%
$215,090 Обс.
$215,090 Обс.
Aug 31, 2026
Anthropic
94%
5%
OpenAI
2%
Moonshot
1%
Meta
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Bytedance
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Thinky
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 94%
Google 5.1%
OpenAI 1.8%
Moonshot <1%
$215,090 Обс.
$215,090 Обс.
Aug 31, 2026
Anthropic
$21,177 Обс.
94%
$15,205 Обс.
5%
OpenAI
$13,547 Обс.
2%
Moonshot
$14,223 Обс.
1%
Meta
$24,607 Обс.
<1%
Alibaba
$15,276 Обс.
<1%
Z.ai
$14,714 Обс.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$18,818 Обс.
<1%
DeepSeek
$15,032 Обс.
<1%
Baidu
$6,526 Обс.
<1%
Xiaomi
$2,617 Обс.
<1%
Amazon
$3,772 Обс.
<1%
Bytedance
$18,099 Обс.
<1%
Nvidia
$6,459 Обс.
<1%
Thinky
$1,488 Обс.
<1%
MiniMax
$11,526 Обс.
<1%
Mistral
$1,345 Обс.
<1%
Meituan
$797 Обс.
<1%
Tencent
$1,357 Обс.
<1%
StepFun
$1,987 Обс.
<1%
Microsoft
$6,518 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Meta’s modest lead at 53.5% amid a tight cluster of outcomes near 50% underscores how traders view the frontier as highly fluid, with no single lab holding a durable edge through end-August. Frequent releases from OpenAI (GPT-5.6 variants) and Anthropic (Claude Fable 5, Sonnet 5) have kept benchmarks shifting week to week on reasoning and coding tasks, while Google’s Gemini models trail at 12% despite multimodal strengths. Meta benefits from open-weight momentum and rapid iteration potential that could still sway leaderboards before the cutoff. Key catalysts include any verified benchmark gains or new model drops in the next six weeks that could break the current deadlock.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Ринок відкрито: Jul 16, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
Обсяг
$215,090Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 16, 2026, 11:09 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Meta’s modest lead at 53.5% amid a tight cluster of outcomes near 50% underscores how traders view the frontier as highly fluid, with no single lab holding a durable edge through end-August. Frequent releases from OpenAI (GPT-5.6 variants) and Anthropic (Claude Fable 5, Sonnet 5) have kept benchmarks shifting week to week on reasoning and coding tasks, while Google’s Gemini models trail at 12% despite multimodal strengths. Meta benefits from open-weight momentum and rapid iteration potential that could still sway leaderboards before the cutoff. Key catalysts include any verified benchmark gains or new model drops in the next six weeks that could break the current deadlock.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Обсяг
$215,090Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 16, 2026, 11:09 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...Meta’s modest lead at 53.5% amid a tight cluster of outcomes near 50% underscores how traders view the frontier as highly fluid, with no single lab holding a durable edge through end-August. Frequent releases from OpenAI (GPT-5.6 variants) and Anthropic (Claude Fable 5, Sonnet 5) have kept benchmarks shifting week to week on reasoning and coding tasks, while Google’s Gemini models trail at 12% despite multimodal strengths. Meta benefits from open-weight momentum and rapid iteration potential that could still sway leaderboards before the cutoff. Key catalysts include any verified benchmark gains or new model drops in the next six weeks that could break the current deadlock.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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