Anthropic’s strong 76% market-implied odds reflect its Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 series models currently topping the Text Arena Math leaderboard with the highest Elo scores around 1529, ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 at 1502. Recent releases and internal research advances, including rapid formalization of complex proofs like Fermat’s Last Theorem and incremental progress on the Riemann hypothesis using multi-agent systems, have reinforced trader consensus on Anthropic’s edge in mathematical reasoning benchmarks. OpenAI’s 19% share captures its competitive but slightly trailing performance on the same arena metrics, while Google, Moonshot, Z.ai, and Alibaba models occupy lower ranks despite strong showings on isolated math benchmarks such as AIME or MATH-500. The September 30 resolution hinges on live arena.ai lab rankings, where any late model update could still shift positions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?
Anthropic 76%
OpenAI 19%
Google 1.8%
SpaceXAI <1%
$56,591 Обс.
$56,591 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
Anthropic
76%
OpenAI
19%
2%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Meta
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 76%
OpenAI 19%
Google 1.8%
SpaceXAI <1%
$56,591 Обс.
$56,591 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
Anthropic
$16,023 Обс.
76%
OpenAI
$18,791 Обс.
19%
$8,002 Обс.
2%
SpaceXAI
$527 Обс.
<1%
Alibaba
$1,333 Обс.
<1%
Baidu
$642 Обс.
<1%
Z.ai
$3,433 Обс.
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,234 Обс.
<1%
Moonshot
$1,067 Обс.
<1%
Meta
$469 Обс.
<1%
Nvidia
$499 Обс.
<1%
DeepSeek
$565 Обс.
<1%
MiniMax
$458 Обс.
<1%
Meituan
$466 Обс.
<1%
Amazon
$450 Обс.
<1%
ByteDance
$449 Обс.
<1%
Mistral
$459 Обс.
<1%
Tencent
$609 Обс.
<1%
StepFun
$518 Обс.
<1%
Microsoft
$599 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s strong 76% market-implied odds reflect its Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 series models currently topping the Text Arena Math leaderboard with the highest Elo scores around 1529, ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 at 1502. Recent releases and internal research advances, including rapid formalization of complex proofs like Fermat’s Last Theorem and incremental progress on the Riemann hypothesis using multi-agent systems, have reinforced trader consensus on Anthropic’s edge in mathematical reasoning benchmarks. OpenAI’s 19% share captures its competitive but slightly trailing performance on the same arena metrics, while Google, Moonshot, Z.ai, and Alibaba models occupy lower ranks despite strong showings on isolated math benchmarks such as AIME or MATH-500. The September 30 resolution hinges on live arena.ai lab rankings, where any late model update could still shift positions.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Ринок відкрито: Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Обсяг
$56,591Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-controlВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s strong 76% market-implied odds reflect its Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 series models currently topping the Text Arena Math leaderboard with the highest Elo scores around 1529, ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 at 1502. Recent releases and internal research advances, including rapid formalization of complex proofs like Fermat’s Last Theorem and incremental progress on the Riemann hypothesis using multi-agent systems, have reinforced trader consensus on Anthropic’s edge in mathematical reasoning benchmarks. OpenAI’s 19% share captures its competitive but slightly trailing performance on the same arena metrics, while Google, Moonshot, Z.ai, and Alibaba models occupy lower ranks despite strong showings on isolated math benchmarks such as AIME or MATH-500. The September 30 resolution hinges on live arena.ai lab rankings, where any late model update could still shift positions.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Обсяг
$56,591Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-controlВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s strong 76% market-implied odds reflect its Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 series models currently topping the Text Arena Math leaderboard with the highest Elo scores around 1529, ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 at 1502. Recent releases and internal research advances, including rapid formalization of complex proofs like Fermat’s Last Theorem and incremental progress on the Riemann hypothesis using multi-agent systems, have reinforced trader consensus on Anthropic’s edge in mathematical reasoning benchmarks. OpenAI’s 19% share captures its competitive but slightly trailing performance on the same arena metrics, while Google, Moonshot, Z.ai, and Alibaba models occupy lower ranks despite strong showings on isolated math benchmarks such as AIME or MATH-500. The September 30 resolution hinges on live arena.ai lab rankings, where any late model update could still shift positions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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