**Trader consensus on the third-best Text Arena Math AI lab by late November reflects intense competition among frontier labs, with Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Mistral, and others priced in the low-to-mid teens to low twenties amid many near-even options.** Anthropic currently leads math-category Elo on arena.ai leaderboards with models such as Claude Fable 5 and Opus 4 variants, but rapid releases from Google (Gemini 3 flash/high), Meta (Muse Spark), Z.ai (GLM-5 series), Moonshot (Kimi), Alibaba (Qwen), and OpenAI continue narrowing gaps in large language model reasoning benchmarks like AIME and MATH. Open-weight and cost-efficient Chinese models have gained arena votes through strong demonstrated capabilities, while Western labs emphasize proprietary scaling and safety-tuned reasoning. With only weeks until resolution and frequent model updates, sentiment hinges on upcoming developer conferences, benchmark saturations, and any late-cycle releases that could reorder the middle of the pack.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоThird-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?
Nvidia 25%
Amazon 24%
Microsoft 22%
Anthropic 22%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
Nvidia
25%
Amazon
24%
Microsoft
22%
Anthropic
22%
Xiaomi
19%
OpenAI
18%
Meta
17%
Z.ai
16%
StepFun
15%
14%
Mistral
14%
Thinky
14%
Baidu
13%
Bytedance
13%
SpaceXAI
12%
Moonshot
12%
Meituan
12%
Tencent
11%
DeepSeek
8%
Alibaba
4%
MiniMax
17%
Nvidia 25%
Amazon 24%
Microsoft 22%
Anthropic 22%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
Nvidia
$33 Обс.
25%
Amazon
$33 Обс.
24%
Microsoft
$33 Обс.
22%
Anthropic
$33 Обс.
22%
Xiaomi
$33 Обс.
19%
OpenAI
$33 Обс.
18%
Meta
$33 Обс.
17%
Z.ai
$33 Обс.
16%
StepFun
$33 Обс.
15%
$33 Обс.
14%
Mistral
$33 Обс.
14%
Thinky
$33 Обс.
14%
Baidu
$33 Обс.
13%
Bytedance
$33 Обс.
13%
SpaceXAI
$33 Обс.
12%
Moonshot
$33 Обс.
12%
Meituan
$33 Обс.
12%
Tencent
$33 Обс.
11%
DeepSeek
$33 Обс.
8%
Alibaba
$33 Обс.
4%
MiniMax
$45 Обс.
17%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Trader consensus on the third-best Text Arena Math AI lab by late November reflects intense competition among frontier labs, with Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Mistral, and others priced in the low-to-mid teens to low twenties amid many near-even options.**
Anthropic currently leads math-category Elo on arena.ai leaderboards with models such as Claude Fable 5 and Opus 4 variants, but rapid releases from Google (Gemini 3 flash/high), Meta (Muse Spark), Z.ai (GLM-5 series), Moonshot (Kimi), Alibaba (Qwen), and OpenAI continue narrowing gaps in large language model reasoning benchmarks like AIME and MATH. Open-weight and cost-efficient Chinese models have gained arena votes through strong demonstrated capabilities, while Western labs emphasize proprietary scaling and safety-tuned reasoning. With only weeks until resolution and frequent model updates, sentiment hinges on upcoming developer conferences, benchmark saturations, and any late-cycle releases that could reorder the middle of the pack.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
Обсяг
$695Дата завершення
Dec 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Trader consensus on the third-best Text Arena Math AI lab by late November reflects intense competition among frontier labs, with Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Mistral, and others priced in the low-to-mid teens to low twenties amid many near-even options.**
Anthropic currently leads math-category Elo on arena.ai leaderboards with models such as Claude Fable 5 and Opus 4 variants, but rapid releases from Google (Gemini 3 flash/high), Meta (Muse Spark), Z.ai (GLM-5 series), Moonshot (Kimi), Alibaba (Qwen), and OpenAI continue narrowing gaps in large language model reasoning benchmarks like AIME and MATH. Open-weight and cost-efficient Chinese models have gained arena votes through strong demonstrated capabilities, while Western labs emphasize proprietary scaling and safety-tuned reasoning. With only weeks until resolution and frequent model updates, sentiment hinges on upcoming developer conferences, benchmark saturations, and any late-cycle releases that could reorder the middle of the pack.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Обсяг
$695Дата завершення
Dec 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the third-best Text Arena Math AI lab by late November reflects intense competition among frontier labs, with Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Mistral, and others priced in the low-to-mid teens to low twenties amid many near-even options.** Anthropic currently leads math-category Elo on arena.ai leaderboards with models such as Claude Fable 5 and Opus 4 variants, but rapid releases from Google (Gemini 3 flash/high), Meta (Muse Spark), Z.ai (GLM-5 series), Moonshot (Kimi), Alibaba (Qwen), and OpenAI continue narrowing gaps in large language model reasoning benchmarks like AIME and MATH. Open-weight and cost-efficient Chinese models have gained arena votes through strong demonstrated capabilities, while Western labs emphasize proprietary scaling and safety-tuned reasoning. With only weeks until resolution and frequent model updates, sentiment hinges on upcoming developer conferences, benchmark saturations, and any late-cycle releases that could reorder the middle of the pack.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання