Z.ai's strong positioning in recent Text Arena Math lab rankings stems from its GLM-5.3 series delivering competitive Elo scores in human-preference evaluations, particularly among open-weight models, which has elevated it ahead of larger labs in the math category. Anthropic maintains the top spot through consistent Claude Fable and Opus model performance on complex reasoning tasks, while Meta and Google hold second-tier contention via Muse Spark and Gemini variants. With the September 30 resolution approaching, traders appear to view Z.ai's cost-efficient updates and benchmark gains as the key swing factor for third place, though any last-minute model drops from Alibaba's Qwen line or Moonshot's Kimi could shift the narrow gap. Market-implied odds reflect this trader consensus on current leaderboard momentum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоThird-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
Z.ai 62.9%
Alibaba 17%
Google 11%
Meta 5.1%
$66,332 Обс.
$66,332 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
Z.ai
63%
Alibaba
17%
11%
Meta
5%
OpenAI
4%
Moonshot
3%
SpaceXAI
1%
Xiaomi
1%
DeepSeek
1%
MiniMax
1%
Anthropic
1%
Baidu
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Bytedance
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Z.ai 62.9%
Alibaba 17%
Google 11%
Meta 5.1%
$66,332 Обс.
$66,332 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
Z.ai
$7,731 Обс.
63%
Alibaba
$14,096 Обс.
17%
$7,963 Обс.
11%
Meta
$2,007 Обс.
5%
OpenAI
$9,945 Обс.
4%
Moonshot
$2,837 Обс.
3%
SpaceXAI
$2,002 Обс.
1%
Xiaomi
$1,803 Обс.
1%
DeepSeek
$1,535 Обс.
1%
MiniMax
$2,649 Обс.
1%
Anthropic
$2,720 Обс.
1%
Baidu
$2,642 Обс.
<1%
Mistral
$1,569 Обс.
<1%
Microsoft
$1,560 Обс.
<1%
Nvidia
$743 Обс.
<1%
Meituan
$756 Обс.
<1%
Amazon
$575 Обс.
<1%
Bytedance
$916 Обс.
<1%
Tencent
$1,586 Обс.
<1%
StepFun
$698 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Z.ai's strong positioning in recent Text Arena Math lab rankings stems from its GLM-5.3 series delivering competitive Elo scores in human-preference evaluations, particularly among open-weight models, which has elevated it ahead of larger labs in the math category. Anthropic maintains the top spot through consistent Claude Fable and Opus model performance on complex reasoning tasks, while Meta and Google hold second-tier contention via Muse Spark and Gemini variants. With the September 30 resolution approaching, traders appear to view Z.ai's cost-efficient updates and benchmark gains as the key swing factor for third place, though any last-minute model drops from Alibaba's Qwen line or Moonshot's Kimi could shift the narrow gap. Market-implied odds reflect this trader consensus on current leaderboard momentum.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Ринок відкрито: Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ET
Обсяг
$66,332Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Z.ai's strong positioning in recent Text Arena Math lab rankings stems from its GLM-5.3 series delivering competitive Elo scores in human-preference evaluations, particularly among open-weight models, which has elevated it ahead of larger labs in the math category. Anthropic maintains the top spot through consistent Claude Fable and Opus model performance on complex reasoning tasks, while Meta and Google hold second-tier contention via Muse Spark and Gemini variants. With the September 30 resolution approaching, traders appear to view Z.ai's cost-efficient updates and benchmark gains as the key swing factor for third place, though any last-minute model drops from Alibaba's Qwen line or Moonshot's Kimi could shift the narrow gap. Market-implied odds reflect this trader consensus on current leaderboard momentum.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Обсяг
$66,332Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Z.ai's strong positioning in recent Text Arena Math lab rankings stems from its GLM-5.3 series delivering competitive Elo scores in human-preference evaluations, particularly among open-weight models, which has elevated it ahead of larger labs in the math category. Anthropic maintains the top spot through consistent Claude Fable and Opus model performance on complex reasoning tasks, while Meta and Google hold second-tier contention via Muse Spark and Gemini variants. With the September 30 resolution approaching, traders appear to view Z.ai's cost-efficient updates and benchmark gains as the key swing factor for third place, though any last-minute model drops from Alibaba's Qwen line or Moonshot's Kimi could shift the narrow gap. Market-implied odds reflect this trader consensus on current leaderboard momentum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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