Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding position in the NJ-05 race due to the district’s D+2 Partisan Voter Index, his consistent electoral record including a 54.6% win in 2024, and a substantial campaign war chest exceeding $11 million after his 2025 gubernatorial bid. Primaries concluded on June 2, 2026, with Gottheimer advancing unopposed on the Democratic side and Sean Kirrane securing the Republican nomination, but nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments capable of narrowing the gap ahead of the November 3 general election. A significant national partisan wave, unexpected scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could still alter outcomes, though historical patterns in similar districts suggest limited volatility.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNJ-05 House Election Winner
NJ-05 House Election Winner
$16,302 Обс.
$16,302 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
9%
$16,302 Обс.
$16,302 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,001 Обс.
91%
Republican Party
$2,301 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding position in the NJ-05 race due to the district’s D+2 Partisan Voter Index, his consistent electoral record including a 54.6% win in 2024, and a substantial campaign war chest exceeding $11 million after his 2025 gubernatorial bid. Primaries concluded on June 2, 2026, with Gottheimer advancing unopposed on the Democratic side and Sean Kirrane securing the Republican nomination, but nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments capable of narrowing the gap ahead of the November 3 general election. A significant national partisan wave, unexpected scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could still alter outcomes, though historical patterns in similar districts suggest limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Обсяг
$16,302Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding position in the NJ-05 race due to the district’s D+2 Partisan Voter Index, his consistent electoral record including a 54.6% win in 2024, and a substantial campaign war chest exceeding $11 million after his 2025 gubernatorial bid. Primaries concluded on June 2, 2026, with Gottheimer advancing unopposed on the Democratic side and Sean Kirrane securing the Republican nomination, but nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments capable of narrowing the gap ahead of the November 3 general election. A significant national partisan wave, unexpected scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could still alter outcomes, though historical patterns in similar districts suggest limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$16,302Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding position in the NJ-05 race due to the district’s D+2 Partisan Voter Index, his consistent electoral record including a 54.6% win in 2024, and a substantial campaign war chest exceeding $11 million after his 2025 gubernatorial bid. Primaries concluded on June 2, 2026, with Gottheimer advancing unopposed on the Democratic side and Sean Kirrane securing the Republican nomination, but nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments capable of narrowing the gap ahead of the November 3 general election. A significant national partisan wave, unexpected scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could still alter outcomes, though historical patterns in similar districts suggest limited volatility.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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